Skip to content
Blue Jackets at Sabres
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
Final/OTTV MSG-B, BSOH·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2 in overtime, Jeff Skinner scoring at 1:20. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Sabres answered. The Blue Jackets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Skinner's goal at 1:20 of overtime, which took the Sabres' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were CBJ 20, BUF 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Jeff Skinner (1 G), 2. Casey Mittelstadt (1 G), 3. Jack Quinn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    J. Skinner1 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    C. Mittelstadt1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Quinn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJCBJ17160700220
BUFBUF01311511212342

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    D. Severson(4)
    D. Voronkov (12), E. Chinakhov (7)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:47

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Quinn(3)
    D. Cozens (14), O. Power (13)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:40
  2. CBJ
    A. Fantilli(11)
    J. Danforth (9), C. Sillinger (10)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:45

3rd period

  1. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(10)
    Z. Benson (10), M. Samuelsson (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +34 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:52

Overtime

  1. BUF
    J. Skinner(15)
    O. Power (14), T. Thompson (11)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:20

Penalties

CBJ 2 PIM·BUF 2 PIM

2nd

  • 11:38CBJAdam Fantilli · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 14:33BUFPeyton Krebs · Boardingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalCBJ goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Jeff Skinner, OT 1:20 — BUF 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Quinn · Goal · xG 0.31T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.23T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.16C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.16J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.16Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.12J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.11O. Power · On goal · xG 0.11D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.11R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.11A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.10C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.10J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.10J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.10J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.10A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.09D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.09J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.07C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.07E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.06R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.05O. Power · On goal · xG 0.05J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.05J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · Goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Power · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.02O. Power · Missed · xG 0.02O. Power · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.01E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.00R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF3 G · 3.7 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsBUF
1.62 G
All situations
3 G3.7
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G3.6
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ18%82%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 3.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsBUF
20
Shots on goal
42
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
18
Hits
15
21
Blocked shots
6
2
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-220.06020—22:41
23J. ChristiansenD000000.00140—21:07
44E. GudbransonD000+110.03130—20:29
78D. SeversonD101020.16020—20:09
22J. BeanD000010.02130—18:57
17J. DanforthR011020.472105317:41
13J. GaudreauL000-110.02000—17:34
11A. FantilliC101+110.231024017:10
59E. ChinakhovR011020.18110—16:05
55D.JiricekD000020.02120—16:04
4C. SillingerC011+110.000001415:46
86K. MarchenkoR000010.05100—15:29
96J. RoslovicC000-100.012005015:02
91K. JohnsonC000000.0000010014:57
10D. VoronkovL011020.102204514:24
52E. BemstromC000000.001005013:12
16B. GaunceC000-120.173105012:57
42A. TexierL000-100.08100—12:16
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(O)42393.9293.70+0.7061:20

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).