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Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV NBCSCH, TSN3·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Winnipeg Jets 2-1 in overtime, Connor Bedard scoring at 2:15. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Bedard's goal at 2:15 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.2 to 1.6; shots on goal were WPG 38, CHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Petr Mrazek stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Bedard (2 G), 2. Petr Mrazek (37 saves, .974), 3. Connor Murphy (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    C. Bedard2 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    P. Mrazek37 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    C. Murphy1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG0131140902138
CHICHI150701211225

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.31win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:57

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:47

Overtime

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.10win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:15

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·CHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:56CHIAnthony Beauvillier · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 9:51WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 11:34CHIPhilipp Kurashev · Trippingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

2nd

  • 16:49CHIReese Johnson · High stickingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 19:49WPGAdam Lowry · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Petr Mrazek2 min

3rd

  • 17:04CHIJarred Tinordi · Trippingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalWPG goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Connor Bedard, OT 2:15 — CHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.31P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.16P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.14C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.10N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.10L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.09T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.07T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.06C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.06R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.03C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.02T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 1.6 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCHI
3.21 G
All situations
2 G1.6
3.11 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG77%23%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.17 – 1.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCHI
38
Shots on goal
25
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
25
12
Blocked shots
21
3
Giveaways
11
14
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-240.37130—24:52
2D. DeMeloD000-110.11310—23:01
55M. ScheifeleC000-110.030002822:57
27N. EhlersL000030.15100—21:44
13G. VilardiC000030.170006720:13
4N. PionkD000040.06400—19:54
88N. SchmidtD000+140.09440—18:48
5B. DillonD000000.03110—17:30
62N. NiederreiterR000-130.08200—16:23
7V. NamestnikovC000-100.450024416:09
22M. AppletonC000030.21400015:16
9A. IafalloL000-120.65000—15:06
17A. LowryC000040.381027315:00
54D. SambergD000+110.01010—14:45
91C. PerfettiC000-140.240005013:31
36M. BarronC101+110.06100010:55
71A. Jonsson-FjallbyL011+100.00000—08:45
21D. ToninatoC011+100.13320008:23
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(O)25232.9201.63-0.3761:48

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).