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Rangers at Maple Leafs
NHL

New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸5
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
FinalTV MSG, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Braden Schneider's goal at 8:08 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYR 36, TOR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Martin Jones stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Erik Gustafsson (3 A), 2. Auston Matthews (2 G), 3. Blake Wheeler (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    E. Gustafsson3 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    B. Wheeler2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR011214311536
TORTOR05117111233

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(10)
    B. Wheeler (6), C. Kreider (9)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:11
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(24)
    M. Rielly (18), T. Bertuzzi (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:32
  3. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(9)PPG
    J. Brodzinski (6), E. Gustafsson (14)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:50

3rd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(25)
    J. McCabe (8), W. Nylander (26)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:16
  2. NYR
    B. Schneider(2)
    E. Gustafsson (15), B. Wheeler (7)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +30 ptsVideo
    3-2
    8:08
  3. NYR
    A. Panarin(17)PPG
    E. Gustafsson (16), V. Trocheck (20)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:08
  4. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(11)EN
    R. Lindgren (2), C. Kreider (10)
    wristxG 0.61win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-2
    16:47

Penalties

NYR 0 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 7:59TORWilliam Lagesson · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min

3rd

  • 13:42TORDavid Kampf · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNYR goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Braden Schneider, 3rd 8:08 — NYR 48% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.19W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.16T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.13A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.13A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.09W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.09C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.05J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.04J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.04T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.03M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.03T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.00C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.00C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.00J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 2.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTOR
2.74 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.52 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR48%52%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTOR
36
Shots on goal
33
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/2
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
4
41
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000+200.00730—24:11
79K. MillerD000+110.01310—23:36
23A. FoxD000-210.02210—21:47
16V. TrocheckC011000.003206220:09
10A. PanarinL101-180.84000—20:02
55R. LindgrenD011-100.00020—18:52
13A. LafrenièreL101-120.15020—17:48
21B. GoodrowC000-130.216306017:01
20C. KreiderL022+200.000005016:09
93M. ZibanejadC202+240.780005015:23
26J. VeseyL000030.10200—15:04
71T. PitlickC000000.05300014:49
4B. SchneiderD101+120.11400—14:11
56E. GustafssonD033+130.07300—14:11
12N. BoninoC000000.001004012:34
17B. WheelerR022+210.0300010011:34
50W. CuylleL000020.15510—11:26
22J. BrodzinskiC011060.162006011:13
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)33312.9392.18+0.1860:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).