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Penguins at Maple Leafs
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
0
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸7
FinalTV SN-PIT, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 7-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 6-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mitch Marner's goal at 10:15 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were PIT 38, TOR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 18 of 21 (.857); Martin Jones stopped 38 of 38 (1.000), 3.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Jones (38 saves, 1.000), 2. Matthew Knies (1 G, 1 A), 3. Max Domi (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Jones38 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Knies1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Domi1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT01101809038
TORTOR311314110735

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Knies(7)
    M. Domi (14)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:57
  2. TOR
    M. Marner(13)
    N. Robertson (6), M. Domi (15)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:15
  3. TOR
    B. McMann(1)
    T. Bertuzzi (5), P. Holmberg (1)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    18:25

2nd period

  1. TOR
    M. Domi(2)
    M. Knies (6), M. Marner (21)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    2:28
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(9)PPG
    W. Nylander (25), M. Rielly (17)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    4:25
  3. TOR
    N. Gregor(5)PPG
    T. Bertuzzi (6), C. Timmins (5)
    wristxG 0.09Video
    0-6
    14:04

3rd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(15)
    T. Bertuzzi (7), J. McCabe (7)
    deflectedxG 0.19Video
    0-7
    14:19

Penalties

PIT 33 PIM·TOR 15 PIM

1st

  • 4:57TORMatthew Knies · Fightingdrawn by John Ludvig5 min
  • 4:57PITJohn Ludvig · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Knies5 min
  • 5:19TORSimon Benoit · Roughingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 5:19PITLars Eller · Roughingdrawn by Simon Benoit2 min
  • 13:06TORTimothy Liljegren · Slashingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 13:46PITJake Guentzel · Interferencedrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
  • 14:01PITReilly Smith · Slashingdrawn by William Nylander2 min

2nd

  • 4:06PITKris Letang · Holdingdrawn by Bobby McMann2 min
  • 4:06PITKris Letang · Misconduct10 min
  • 7:13TORPontus Holmberg · Trippingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
  • 12:06PITEvgeni Malkin · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 14:42PITJake Guentzel · High stickingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 18:52PITSidney Crosby · Slashingdrawn by Martin Jones2 min
  • 18:52TORConor Timmins · Roughingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

3rd

  • 2:08TORMax Domi · Hookingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 9:07PITEvgeni Malkin · High sticking double minordrawn by Jake McCabe4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalPIT goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Mitch Marner, 1st 10:15 — TOR 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.39M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.28J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.27B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.22M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.19W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.19J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.19N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.16M. Knies · Goal · xG 0.16J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.14M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.14J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.14J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.12M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.11W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.11J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.11M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.10P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.10N. Gregor · Goal · xG 0.09M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.08N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.08J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.07B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.06J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.06N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.06N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.05D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.05C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.03C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.02B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR7 G · 4.5 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsTOR
3.00 G
All situations
7 G4.5
2.20 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
0.80 G
Power play
2 G2.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT29%71%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 4.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsTOR
38
Shots on goal
35
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/3
Power play
2/7
33
Penalty minutes
15
38
Hits
16
14
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
9
11
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-130.18100—26:06
28M. PetterssonD000-150.26120—23:29
59J. GuentzelC000-320.49204020:55
71E. MalkinC000020.040164020:20
87S. CrosbyC000-350.623027618:51
20L. EllerC000-130.034223318:06
58K. LetangD000-400.112112—17:53
48V. PuustinenR000-150.30100—16:42
7J. LudvigD000-120.08625—16:42
19R. SmithR000010.30202—16:19
10D. O'ConnorL000-230.3721010016:02
27R. GravesD000-210.01130—15:21
77J. CarterC000-110.052106414:31
73P. JosephD000-130.05200—13:49
43J. HarkinsC000-100.00300009:09
13V. HinostrozaC000-120.11010007:52
63R. ZohornaL000-100.00200—06:21
44J. GrudenL000-100.004005006:18
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic21183.8572.56-0.4437:01
35T. Jarry(L)14104.7141.99-2.0121:56

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).