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Islanders at Canadiens
NHL

New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
3
Montréal Canadiens
▸5
FinalTV MSGSN2, SNE·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the New York Islanders 5-3. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Armia's goal at 7:45 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were NYI 33, MTL 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 1.1 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Josh Anderson (2 G), 2. Brock Nelson (2 G), 3. Cole Caufield (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Anderson2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson2 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI01006317333
MTLMTL01542115541

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Armia(4)
    B. Gallagher (6), K. Guhle (7)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:45
  2. MTL
    J. Anderson(2)
    J. Barron (4), S. Monahan (9)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:35
  3. MTL
    J. Anderson(3)
    S. Monahan (10), J. Barron (5)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    19:06
  4. MTL
    C. Caufield(8)
    N. Suzuki (16), J. Slafkovský (6)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    19:21

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(14)SHG
    N. Dobson (25)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-4
    2:07
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson(15)
    N. Dobson (26)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    3:43
  3. NYI
    B. Horvat(12)
    N. Dobson (27), A. Romanov (5)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-4
    14:06
  4. MTL
    C. Dvorak(2)EN
    N. Suzuki (17)
    wristxG 0.48win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:40

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·MTL 2 PIM

2nd

  • 3:05MTLJohnathan Kovacevic · Trippingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 13:47NYIBrock Nelson · Slashingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

3rd

  • 0:37NYIAnders Lee · Slashingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNYI goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Joel Armia, 2nd 7:45 — MTL 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.48J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.45C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.14C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.14N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.14J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.12S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.11S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.11J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.11J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.10C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.09N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.09J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.08J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.07C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.06S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.06J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.06M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stephens · On goal · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.04J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.03J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.03J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.03J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.02K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.02C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL5 G · 3.9 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsMTL
2.73 G
All situations
4 G3.9
2.32 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI46%54%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsMTL
33
Shots on goal
41
33%
Faceoffs
67%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
20
14
Blocked shots
18
7
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD033010.01120—26:43
25S. AhoD000-210.04020—23:47
13M. BarzalC000-110.21100021:04
14B. HorvatC101-130.451003820:03
2M. ReillyD000-340.06100—19:51
28A. RomanovD011000.01310—18:54
18P. EngvallL000-130.09100—16:08
27A. LeeL000050.47012—16:06
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00000—15:59
21K. PalmieriC000-210.11130015:44
29B. NelsonC202-140.610123315:19
44J. PageauC000-130.133204615:10
4S. BolducD000+110.08410—13:27
53C. CizikasC000030.24200013:15
10S. HolmstromR000000.00100—12:31
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.00500—12:23
20H. FaschingR000020.22210—10:36
16J. GauthierR000-110.01100—10:03
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)40364.9002.94-1.0658:57

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).