St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1 in overtime, Pavel Buchnevich scoring at 0:38. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Buchnevich's goal at 0:38 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were STL 27, VGK 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G), 2. Jack Eichel (1 G), 3. Jordan Binnington (33 saves, .971).
Three stars
- ★P. Buchnevich1 G

- ★★J. Eichel1 G

- ★★★J. Binnington33 saves, .971

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-019:39
3rd period
1-112:58
Overtime
2-10:38
Penalties
1st
- 1:42
Torey Krug · Slashingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
- 16:32
Keegan Kolesar · Holdingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
3rd
- 1:32
Colton Parayko · Hookingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
- 12:09
Pavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Pavel Buchnevich, OT 0:38 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.32 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.4
- 2.22 G
- Even strength
- 0 G3.1
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.1
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 3.24
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 16
- Hits
- 23
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 23
- 4
- Giveaways
- 10
- 8
- Takeaways
- 14
Box score
every player line
Season series
VGK leads 2-1
2@
1OTthis game
6@
3Final
2@
1OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
