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Blues at Golden Knights
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights

Final/OTTV BSMW, SCRIPPS·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1 in overtime, Pavel Buchnevich scoring at 0:38. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Buchnevich's goal at 0:38 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were STL 27, VGK 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G), 2. Jack Eichel (1 G), 3. Jordan Binnington (33 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Binnington33 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL19080911227
VGKVGK0130811300134

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:39

3rd period

  1. VGK
    J. Eichel(11)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +28 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:58

Overtime

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.43win prob +51 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:38

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:42STLTorey Krug · Slashingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 16:32VGKKeegan Kolesar · Holdingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min

3rd

  • 1:32STLColton Parayko · Hookingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 12:09STLPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSTL goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Pavel Buchnevich, OT 0:38 — STL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.36W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.24I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.22B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.17I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.16I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.15W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.15P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.12W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.11W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.11B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.09B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.08B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.08N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.06P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.05B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK1 G · 3.4 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVGK
2.32 G
All situations
1 G3.4
2.22 G
Even strength
0 G3.1
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL34%66%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVGK
27
Shots on goal
34
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
16
Hits
23
17
Blocked shots
23
4
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD022+130.20232—25:56
4N. LeddyD000+100.02000—25:54
72J. FaulkD000020.07120—21:52
18R. ThomasC011+110.370204721:35
89P. BuchnevichL101+130.59002—20:58
47T. KrugD000+130.22212—19:46
63J. NeighboursL000020.1201010017:43
12K. HayesR000020.081006316:33
10B. SchennC000000.001105416:09
25J. KyrouR000030.16010—16:05
70O. SundqvistC011+100.132204015:01
42K. KapanenR000+120.01100—14:39
20B. SaadL000000.02100—14:00
48S. PerunovichD000020.09000—13:37
6M. ScandellaD000000.00010—13:00
13A. ToropchenkoR101+120.11010—08:38
79S. BlaisL000010.11420—08:17
59N. AlexandrovC000010.011005007:22
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)34331.9713.38+2.3860:38

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).