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Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSCH·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marco Rossi's goal at 12:08 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 68% to 81%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.7, MIN 2.5; shots on goal were CHI 29, MIN 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.5 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mats Zuccarello (1 G, 2 A), 2. Marco Rossi (2 G), 3. Marc-Andre Fleury (28 saves, .966).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Rossi2 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Fleury28 saves, .966

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI01106112129
MINMIN31511108434

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:11
  2. MIN
    M. Rossi(8)PPG
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:08
  3. MIN
    slapxG 0.18win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    17:07

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(3)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    11:36

3rd period

  1. CHI
    deflectedxG 0.41Video
    1-4
    12:55

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:48MINMatt Boldy · Trippingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min
  • 10:27CHITyler Johnson · High stickingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min

2nd

  • 4:57CHINick Foligno · Hookingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 11:13CHIMacKenzie Entwistle · Slashingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

3rd

  • 2:19MINAlex Goligoski · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 12:17MINBrandon Duhaime · Hookingdrawn by Cole Guttman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCHI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Marco Rossi, 1st 12:08 — MIN 68% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.18M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.16M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.15J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.14M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.09M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.09M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.08J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.08M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.08P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.08P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.06F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.06P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.03P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.02J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.5 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsMIN
2.71 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
1.31 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI54%46%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsMIN
29
Shots on goal
34
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
21
18
Blocked shots
9
4
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000010.02230—23:35
55K. KorchinskiD000010.06210—20:27
72A. VlasicD000010.24130—19:57
5C. MurphyD000-220.01210—19:29
98C. BedardC011030.270002519:00
23P. KurashevC000020.251205018:17
11T. RaddyshR101-140.86010—17:18
90T. JohnsonC011-130.220126716:40
17N. FolignoL000010.093025016:34
25J. TinordiD000-200.01300—16:01
46L. CrevierD000010.00210—15:59
8R. DonatoC000-100.012003814:52
15J. AndersonR000020.25400—13:56
16J. DickinsonC000000.002006713:55
70C. GuttmanC000-110.091108013:02
14B. KatchoukL000-110.0100010012:55
52R. JohnsonC000-120.154207512:38
58M. EntwistleR000040.18222—11:34
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)34304.8822.52-1.4859:47

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).