Skip to content
Sabres at Hurricanes
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
FinalTV MSG-B, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Drury's goal at 16:36 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were BUF 22, CAR 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 2.1 goals below expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (2 G), 2. Brent Burns (2 A), 3. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. Burns2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF070728222
CARCAR210311116637

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(7)
    S. Jarvis (10), J. Slavin (10)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:26
  2. CAR
    J. Drury(3)
    M. Necas (10), J. Chatfield (4)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:36

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(8)PPG
    A. Svechnikov (9), B. Burns (6)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:06
  2. CAR
    S. Noesen(6)
    M. Necas (11), J. Slavin (11)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    14:12
  3. CAR
    T. Teravainen(11)PPG
    A. Svechnikov (10), B. Burns (7)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    18:04

3rd period

  1. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(5)
    A. Tuch (9), H. Jokiharju (7)
    snapxG 0.09Video
    1-5
    4:08
  2. CAR
    B. Skjei(4)SHG
    T. Teravainen (7)
    slapxG 0.07Video
    1-6
    8:05
  3. BUF
    T. Jost(2)
    P. Krebs (3)
    tip-inxG 0.05Video
    2-6
    9:24

Penalties

BUF 13 PIM·CAR 19 PIM

1st

  • 7:23CARStefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 7:23BUFRasmus Dahlin · Roughingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 7:23CARStefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min

2nd

  • 0:53BUFAlex Tuch · Interferencedrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 3:28CARAndrei Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 4:40CARSebastian Aho · High sticking double minordrawn by JJ Peterka4 min
  • 17:45BUFKyle Okposo · Roughingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 17:45BUFConnor Clifton · Roughingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 17:45CARMichael Bunting · Roughingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min

3rd

  • 6:42CARSebastian Aho · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Eric Comrie2 min
  • 19:10BUFConnor Clifton · Fightingdrawn by Jack Drury5 min
  • 19:10CARJack Drury · Fightingdrawn by Connor Clifton5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalBUF goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Drury, 1st 16:36 — CAR 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.31S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.21S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.14B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.14S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.13J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.13S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.12S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.12T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.11S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.11M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.11J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.10J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.09J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.07B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drury · Goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.04B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 3.9 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsCAR
1.62 G
All situations
6 G3.9
0.82 G
Even strength
3 G3.3
0.80 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF16%84%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.61 – 3.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsCAR
22
Shots on goal
37
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/5
Power play
2/2
13
Penalty minutes
19
24
Hits
14
16
Blocked shots
8
13
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
37C. MittelstadtC101+120.372006724:03
26R. DahlinD000-140.17102—23:55
53J. SkinnerL000+130.18200—23:20
89A. TuchR011+110.15012—22:20
25O. PowerD000-120.07120—20:44
23M. SamuelssonD000-110.01420—19:46
77J. PeterkaR000-220.02200—18:42
10H. JokiharjuD011-100.02310—17:28
24D. CozensC000-200.001102016:49
21K. OkposoR000-210.072123316:22
75C. CliftonD000+100.00327—15:36
9Z. BensonL000-200.00000—15:09
71V. OlofssonL000-100.23010—14:57
19P. KrebsC011+130.210105014:45
6E. JohnsonD000010.00200—12:40
15B. BiroL000-100.00010—10:13
17T. JostC101-110.05030008:24
12J. GreenwayL000010.03100—04:30
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31E. Comrie(L)37316.8383.88-2.1259:45

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).