Blue Jackets at Devils 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Columbus Blue Jackets

▸2

New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the New Jersey Devils 2-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Robinson's goal at 19:23 of the first period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 47% to 62%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 2.0, NJD 2.2; shots on goal were CBJ 28, NJD 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Akira Schmid stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Elvis Merzlikins (37 saves, .974), 2. Akira Schmid (26 saves, .929), 3. Eric Robinson (1 G).

Three stars

★
E. Merzlikins37 saves, .974
★★
A. Schmid26 saves, .929
★★★
E. Robinson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CBJ	211	08	09	228
NJD	16	012	020	138

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

B. Jenner(11)
J. Gaudreau (7)
snapxG 0.23win prob +13 ptsVideo
1-0
10:04
A. Holtz(5)
O. Palat (7)
wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
1-1
13:15
E. Robinson(1)
J. Danforth (4), E. Gudbranson (7)
wristxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
2-1
19:23

Penalties

4 PIM·

6 PIM

1st

14:23Alexander Holtz · High sticking double minordrawn by Patrik Laine4 min

2nd

12:58Dmitri Voronkov · Hookingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min

3rd

3:26served by D.Jiricek · Too many men on the ice2 min
13:15Jonas Siegenthaler · Hookingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NJD

Biggest swing: Eric Robinson, 1st 19:23 — CBJ 47% → 62%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.2 xG · 50 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.0 xG · 41 att NJD

1 G · 2.2 xG · 50 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.02 G
All situations: 1 G2.2; 1.52 G
Even strength: 1 G1.5; 0.40 G
Power play: 0 G0.7; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

46%54%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

28
Shots on goal: 38; 50%
Faceoffs: 50%; 0/3
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 6; 23
Hits: 29; 22
Blocked shots: 16; 5
Giveaways: 8; 6
Takeaways: 15

Box score

every player line

Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
9I. ProvorovD	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	2	3	0	—	26:02
8Z. WerenskiD	0	0	0	+2	4	0.10	0	4	0	—	24:41
44E. GudbransonD	0	1	1	0	2	0.02	0	2	0	—	22:45
13J. GaudreauL	0	1	1	+1	2	0.23	0	1	0	—	20:51
38B. JennerC	1	0	1	+1	2	0.43	1	1	0	50	19:15
86K. MarchenkoR	0	0	0	+1	2	0.34	1	2	0	—	18:55
27A. BoqvistD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	0	0	0	—	17:38
11A. FantilliC	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	40	17:13
17J. DanforthR	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	1	2	0	57	15:13
7S. KuralyC	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	3	1	0	75	15:01
10D. VoronkovL	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	2	—	14:54
22J. BeanD	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	0	1	0	—	14:43
4C. SillingerC	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	2	0	0	67	13:23
59E. ChinakhovR	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	1	0	0	—	12:15
29P. LaineL	0	0	0	0	2	0.29	0	0	0	—	12:10
50E. RobinsonL	1	0	1	+1	2	0.13	5	0	0	—	12:01
55D.JiricekD	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	0	—	11:15
24M. OlivierR	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	3	0	—	07:52

Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
90E. Merzlikins(W)	38	37	1	.974	2.18	+1.18	60:00

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Columbus Blue Jackets at New Jersey Devils

1st period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score