Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Newhook's goal at 16:40 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 88%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.4, ANA 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 28, ANA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.6 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Newhook (2 G), 2. Mason McTavish (2 G, 1 A), 3. Frank Vatrano (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Newhook2 G

- ★★M. McTavish2 G, 1 A

- ★★★F. Vatrano1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-05:59
2-06:37
2nd period
2-10:53
3-11:49
3-26:00
3rd period
3-311:31
4-316:40
Penalties
1st
- 3:53
Ilya Lyubushkin · Playing without a helmet2 min
- 11:08
Mason McTavish · Hookingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
2nd
- 0:48
Juraj Slafkovský · Holdingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
- 7:34
Max Jones · Elbowingdrawn by Gustav Lindstrom2 min
3rd
- 15:10
Max Jones · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
- 15:10
Sean Monahan · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Max Jones2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alex Newhook, 3rd 16:40 — 48% → 88%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.44 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.4
- 1.74 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.1
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 2.34
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/1
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 22
- Hits
- 33
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 7
- Giveaways
- 4
- 0
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 2-0
4@
3this game
0@
5Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
