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Devils at Red Wings
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
0
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
FinalTV BSDET, MSGSN2·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New Jersey Devils 4-0. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lucas Raymond's goal at 16:58 of the first period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.1 to 1.4; shots on goal were NJD 16, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.9 goals below expected; Alex Lyon stopped 16 of 16 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Robby Fabbri (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Lyon (16 saves, 1.000), 3. Lucas Raymond (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    R. Fabbri1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. Lyon16 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    DET
    L. Raymond1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD070702016
DETDET31011107428

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    L. Raymond(8)
    R. Fabbri (1), J. Compher (11)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:58
  2. DET
    D. Larkin(6)
    A. DeBrincat (7)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:18
  3. DET
    R. Fabbri(3)
    D. Sprong (6), J. Veleno (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    18:10

2nd period

  1. DET
    M. Seider(2)PPG
    D. Sprong (7), J. Walman (4)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    9:05

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:39NJDserved by A. Holtz · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 7:05NJDKevin Bahl · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:34DETDylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min

3rd

  • 4:35NJDErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min
  • 9:11NJDDougie Hamilton · Slashingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 11:53DETDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by John Marino2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNJD goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Lucas Raymond, 1st 16:58 — DET 53% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.19D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.18A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.17D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.15R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.13R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.13L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.12M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.09D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.06C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.06J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.05D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.05L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · Goal · xG 0.03C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 2.1 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsDET
1.40 G
All situations
4 G2.1
1.20 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD36%64%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.40 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsDET
16
Shots on goal
28
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
18
8
Blocked shots
20
7
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86J. HughesC000-110.350104222:06
7D. HamiltonD000020.02212—20:24
6J. MarinoD000-210.01010—18:49
43L. HughesD000-100.01200—18:49
91D. MercerC000-200.000002018:33
71J. SiegenthalerD000-110.04110—18:29
73T. ToffoliC000-220.180005018:07
10A. HoltzR000000.07500—17:06
63J. BrattL000-210.22000—16:48
56E. HaulaL000-120.130128016:18
18O. PalatL000000.04210—16:07
20M. McLeodC000010.132005816:00
2B. SmithD000-100.01300—14:17
88K. BahlD000010.08112—13:19
42C. LazarC000-120.03400012:57
24C. MillerD000-110.08210—12:45
14N. BastianR000010.01400—12:36
46M. WillmanC000000.01100008:59
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)28244.8572.05-1.9559:31

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).