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Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken

Final/OTTV ROOT-NW, SN·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Seattle Kraken 4-3 in overtime, Rasmus Andersson scoring at 3:28. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Kraken led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Andersson's goal at 3:28 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were CGY 31, SEA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.5 goals below expected; Joey Daccord stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Rasmus Andersson (1 G, 2 A), 2. Vince Dunn (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joey Daccord (22 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    V. Dunn1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. Daccord22 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY270611612431
SEASEA1102170301331

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:16
  2. SEA
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:42
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.03win prob +10 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:40

2nd period

  1. SEA
    V. Dunn (15), Y. Gourde (6)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:21
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.18win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:25

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.09win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-3
    15:53

Overtime

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.19win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:28

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·SEA 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:31SEAPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Trippingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

2nd

  • 5:59CGYNikita Zadorov · Cross checkingdrawn by Tye Kartye2 min
  • 16:41CGYNikita Zadorov · Trippingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

3rd

  • 13:40SEAYanni Gourde · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick DeSimone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalCGY goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Andersson, OT 3:28 — CGY 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.20J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.18T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.17J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.14Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.13Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.12J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.12V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.11K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.09E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.06K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.05E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.05T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.05J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.05T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.04J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.03V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.00K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.00M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA3 G · 2.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSEA
2.84 G
All situations
3 G2.5
2.33 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY55%45%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSEA
31
Shots on goal
31
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
26
20
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
4
13
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD011030.07250—24:43
4R. AnderssonD123+160.56120—24:40
55N. HanifinD011-120.02010—22:32
11M. BacklundC011-120.031203221:54
8C. TanevD011-120.02020—21:11
10J. HuberdeauL112010.03300—20:23
28E. LindholmC101+150.471106319:40
91N. KadriC011010.792004218:57
20B. ColemanL000-220.04020—18:26
76M. PospisilC000020.14300017:43
88A. MangiapaneL101+130.32300—15:38
16N. ZadorovD000000.00224—15:24
57N. DeSimoneD000000.01100—13:05
17Y. SharangovichC000000.1100010013:04
29D. DubeC000000.002203312:53
47C. ZaryC000000.12000011:07
18A. GreerL000020.07010—08:34
71W. DuehrR000000.00200—06:30
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)31283.9032.50-0.5063:28

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).