New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Winnipeg Jets beat the New Jersey Devils 6-3. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 18:10 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals were close — NJD 2.8, WPG 2.9; shots on goal were NJD 34, WPG 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.8 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (2 G), 2. Cole Perfetti (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kyle Connor (2 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★N. Ehlers2 G

- ★★C. Perfetti1 G, 1 A

- ★★★K. Connor2 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals2nd period
0-18:07
0-213:54
1-214:54
2-216:06
2-318:10
3rd period
2-49:54
2-511:58
3-514:17
3-618:30
Penalties
1st
- 5:32
Nikolaj Ehlers · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
- 16:43
Dougie Hamilton · Interferencedrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
2nd
- 13:23
Tyler Toffoli · Cross checkingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
- 14:07
Dylan DeMelo · Interferencedrawn by Timo Meier2 min
3rd
- 2:27
Brenden Dillon · High stickingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
- 7:20
Brendan Smith · Boardingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
- 7:20
Nikolaj Ehlers · Cross checkingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
- 7:20
Brendan Smith · Fightingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers5 min
- 7:20
Nikolaj Ehlers · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Smith5 min
- 8:15
Curtis Lazar · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
- 13:15
Josh Morrissey · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
- 15:53
Curtis Lazar · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
- 15:53
Curtis Lazar · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
- 15:53
Mark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
- 19:12
Mason Appleton · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 2nd 18:10 — 53% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.83 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.9
- 2.11 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.6
- 0.72 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 2.13
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 2/5
- Power play
- 2/4
- 17
- Penalty minutes
- 19
- 24
- Hits
- 16
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 21
- 3
- Giveaways
- 10
- 3
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
3@
6this game
1@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
