Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Detroit Red Wings beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Red Wings led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Daniel Sprong's goal at 18:19 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were CBJ 22, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Spencer Martin stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.1 goals below expected; Ville Husso stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Robby Fabbri (1 G), 2. Jeff Petry (2 A), 3. Patrik Laine (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-13:41
0-24:26
1-25:33
2-218:14
2nd period
3-25:41
3-316:01
3-418:19
3rd period
3-52:33
4-511:30
Penalties
1st
- 13:22
Robby Fabbri · Holdingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
2nd
- 2:55
Ben Chiarot · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
- 8:33
Johnny Gaudreau · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
- 12:22
Emil Bemstrom · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
- 20:00
Erik Gudbranson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 9:21
Robby Fabbri · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Daniel Sprong, 2nd 18:19 — 53% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.44 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.9
- 1.64 G
- Even strength
- 5 G2.6
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.82
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 38%
- Faceoffs
- 62%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 16
- Hits
- 14
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 24
- 11
- Giveaways
- 8
- 1
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
DET leads 3-0
4@
0Final
4@
5this game
3@
4OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
