Montréal Canadiens at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-2 in overtime, Cole Caufield scoring at 4:16. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 4:16 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.5, DET 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 27, DET 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Cayden Primeau stopped 27 of 29 (.931); James Reimer stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (1 G), 2. J.T. Compher (1 G), 3. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★C. Caufield1 G

- ★★J. Compher1 G

- ★★★N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-07:02
2nd period
1-116:44
3rd period
2-10:26
2-26:06
Overtime
3-24:16
Penalties
1st
- 2:58
Jordan Harris · Holdingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
- 7:12
Jeff Petry · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 14:15
Michael Pezzetta · Holdingdrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min
- 15:05
Lucas Raymond · Slashingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
2nd
- 3:02
Josh Anderson · Trippingdrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min
- 5:58
Kaiden Guhle · Holdingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
- 10:53
Jake Walman · Holdingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
- 18:29
Dylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
3rd
- 8:58
Brendan Gallagher · Roughingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
- 8:58
Moritz Seider · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
OT
- 3:27
James Reimer · Holding the stickdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
- 4:16
J.T. Compher · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Cole Caufield, OT 4:16 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.53 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.4
- 1.81 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.6
- 0.52 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.8
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 2.42
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 2/5
- Power play
- 0/4
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 22
- 21
- Hits
- 19
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 1
- Giveaways
- 10
- 4
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
DET leads 3-1
3@
2OTthis game
5@
4OTFinal
4@
5OTFinal
5@
4SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
