Penguins at Ducks 2-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Pittsburgh Penguins

▸2

Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV SN-PIT, BSSD·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Radim Zohorna's goal at 12:34 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 46% to 60%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were PIT 36, ANA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 20 of 20 (1.000), 0.9 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (34 saves, .971), 2. Evgeni Malkin, 3. Reilly Smith.

Three stars

★
J. Gibson34 saves, .971
★★
E. Malkin
★★★
R. Smith

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
PIT	18	017	111	236
ANA	013	07	011	031

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

R. Zohorna(3)
L. Eller (4), E. Karlsson (7)
backhandxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
1-0
12:34

3rd period

S. Crosby(6)EN
J. Guentzel (10), K. Letang (6)
backhandxG 0.33win prob +5 ptsVideo
2-0
19:40

Penalties

6 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

2:53Lars Eller · Trippingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min

2nd

10:13Ilya Lyubushkin · Trippingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
10:28Evgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Jackson LaCombe2 min
13:51Mason McTavish · Holdingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
16:13Lars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: ANA

Biggest swing: Radim Zohorna, 1st 12:34 — PIT 46% → 60%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.6 xG · 35 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.6 xG · 45 att ANA

0 G · 1.6 xG · 35 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.61 G
All situations: 0 G1.6; 1.91 G
Even strength: 0 G1.2; 0.40 G
Power play: 0 G0.3; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

63%37%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 1.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

36
Shots on goal: 31; 53%
Faceoffs: 47%; 0/2
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 4; 11
Hits: 23; 14
Blocked shots: 14; 4
Giveaways: 10; 10
Takeaways: 12

Box score

every player line

Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
58K. LetangD	0	1	1	+1	2	0.05	1	2	0	—	26:28
27R. GravesD	0	0	0	0	5	0.11	0	1	0	—	24:00
28M. PetterssonD	0	0	0	+2	0	0.01	1	1	0	—	23:00
65E. KarlssonD	0	1	1	+1	5	0.30	0	5	0	—	22:43
59J. GuentzelC	0	1	1	+1	3	0.36	1	0	0	0	20:47
17B. RustR	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	2	0	0	—	20:03
87S. CrosbyC	1	0	1	+1	4	0.41	1	1	0	70	18:36
71E. MalkinC	0	0	0	0	4	0.45	2	0	2	41	18:24
67R. RakellR	0	0	0	0	4	0.30	2	0	0	—	16:36
19R. SmithR	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	1	0	—	16:20
20L. EllerC	0	1	1	+1	3	0.35	0	0	4	59	14:39
10D. O'ConnorL	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	0	0	—	14:05
2C. RuhwedelD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	10:56
5R. SheaD	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	—	10:46
63R. ZohornaL	1	0	1	+1	1	0.02	0	0	0	—	10:36
55N. AcciariC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	50	10:11
83M. NietoL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	08:09
13V. HinostrozaC	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	1	0	0	07:50

Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
35T. Jarry(W)	20	20	0	1.000	0.90	+0.90	38:15
45M. Hellberg	11	11	0	1.000	0.71	+0.71	21:36

Season series

Tied 1-1

Oct 304@3Final
Nov 72@0this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

Box score