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Blue Jackets at Panthers
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Florida Panthers

Final/OTTV BSOH, BSFL·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-4 in overtime, Carter Verhaeghe scoring at 1:26. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Cousins's goal at 19:03 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 3% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were CBJ 23, FLA 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Spencer Martin stopped 34 of 36 (.944); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G), 2. Alexandre Texier (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Cousins (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    A. Texier1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    N. Cousins1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJCBJ271111500423
FLAFLA31901211312546

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:19
  2. FLA
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:09
  3. FLA
    backhandxG 0.41win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    6:09
  4. CBJ
    wristxG 0.19win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:41
  5. CBJ
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:51

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    backhandxG 0.53win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:02

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.20win prob +36 ptsVideo
    4-3
    12:30
  2. FLA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-4
    19:03

Overtime

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.27win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    1:26

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

2nd

  • 8:44FLAJosh Mahura · Delaying game2 min
  • 16:48CBJAlexandre Texier · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

3rd

  • 2:12FLAKevin Stenlund · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Dmitri Voronkov2 min
  • 2:12CBJDmitri Voronkov · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 2:12FLAKevin Stenlund · Roughingdrawn by Dmitri Voronkov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCBJ goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Cousins, 3rd 19:03 — FLA 3% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.41M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.33C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.26A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.18N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.17A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.17S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.15M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.11E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.10S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.04K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.04D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.02W. Lockwood · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · Goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01W. Lockwood · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA5 G · 3.9 xG · 66 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsFLA
2.64 G
All situations
5 G3.9
1.73 G
Even strength
5 G3.0
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ30%70%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 3.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsFLA
23
Shots on goal
46
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
43
Hits
12
30
Blocked shots
23
6
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-220.15130—24:03
78D. SeversonD000-300.07040—21:50
96J. RoslovicC011-210.002103320:29
9I. ProvorovD011+120.07120—20:10
13J. GaudreauL000-240.22020—19:58
38B. JennerC101-220.393304719:55
44E. GudbransonD022020.03230—19:51
2A. PeekeD011+100.00420—16:30
7S. KuralyC101+120.244104716:00
22J. BeanD000010.01110—15:49
17J. DanforthR011+100.10330—15:07
42A. TexierL112-120.28202—14:37
24M. OlivierR000+120.06510—14:36
11A. FantilliC000010.014202914:27
86K. MarchenkoR101010.652105013:59
4C. SillingerC011010.153007512:13
59E. ChinakhovR000-100.01210—11:53
10D. VoronkovL000000.11402—10:51
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Martin(O)36342.9442.47+0.4755:17
90E. Merzlikins1073.7001.46-1.5406:09

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).