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Montréal Canadiens at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV BSMW, SNE·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-3. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexey Toropchenko's goal at 2:50 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 74% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.6 to 3.0; shots on goal were MTL 33, STL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.8 goals below expected; Joel Hofer stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Jordan Kyrou (1 G, 2 A), 2. Brayden Schenn (1 G, 2 A), 3. Brandon Saad (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Saad1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL19113111333
STLSTL214111310635

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:24
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:01
  3. STL
    snapxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:37

2nd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.21win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:03
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:48

3rd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.23win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-4
    2:50
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou (4), B. Saad (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-5
    5:53
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.44Video
    2-6
    16:00
  4. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.15Video
    3-6
    18:32

Penalties

MTL 2 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:50STLKevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta2 min
  • 6:37STLTyler Tucker · High stickingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

2nd

  • 6:41STLSammy Blais · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:10STLJordan Kyrou · Holdingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 20:00MTLArber Xhekaj · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalMTL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Alexey Toropchenko, 3rd 2:50 — STL 74% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.44J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.29A. Toropchenko · Goal · xG 0.23B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.21C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.19J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.18K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.16B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.13K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.13B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.12K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.11R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.08S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.08K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.03J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.02A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tucker · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.00P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.00R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.00P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.00
STL6 G · 3.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsSTL
3.03 G
All situations
5 G3.6
2.22 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL47%53%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 3.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsSTL
33
Shots on goal
35
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/4
Power play
0/0
2
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD011-320.05020—21:23
22C. CaufieldR011-170.52000—20:04
72A. XhekajD000000.00302—19:33
17J. AndersonR000-110.11000—19:12
14N. SuzukiC101-120.450004718:59
52J. BarronD000-200.09100—18:42
21K. GuhleD000000.00160—18:33
20J. SlafkovskýL101-140.43100—18:06
26J. KovacevicD000-110.33020—17:46
15A. NewhookC011-310.130105017:22
54J. HarrisD000020.13010—16:44
91S. MonahanC011-210.141006315:40
28C. DvorakC000-110.050104014:53
11B. GallagherR112-340.25000—14:05
70T. PearsonL000-210.16200—13:38
71J. EvansC000010.022104712:35
55M. PezzettaL000020.01300—11:45
40J. ArmiaR000030.14100—11:15
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)34295.8533.18-1.8259:45

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).