Montréal Canadiens at St. Louis Blues
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-3. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexey Toropchenko's goal at 2:50 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 74% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.6 to 3.0; shots on goal were MTL 33, STL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.8 goals below expected; Joel Hofer stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Jordan Kyrou (1 G, 2 A), 2. Brayden Schenn (1 G, 2 A), 3. Brandon Saad (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-11:24
1-14:01
1-216:37
2nd period
1-313:03
2-314:48
3rd period
2-42:50
2-55:53
2-616:00
3-618:32
Penalties
1st
- 2:50
Kevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta2 min
- 6:37
Tyler Tucker · High stickingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
2nd
- 6:41
Sammy Blais · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 1:10
Jordan Kyrou · Holdingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
- 20:00
Arber Xhekaj · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alexey Toropchenko, 3rd 2:50 — 74% → 92%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.03 G
- All situations
- 5 G3.6
- 2.22 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.9
- 0.81 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 3.18
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/0
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 15
- Hits
- 25
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 7
- Giveaways
- 11
- 10
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
STL leads 2-0
3@
6this game
7@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
