Skip to content
Sabres at Flyers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
Philadelphia Flyers
2
FinalTV TNT, MAX·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Owen Power's goal at 3:03 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were BUF 15, PHI 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 7 of 9 (.778), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (38 saves, .950), 2. Owen Power (1 G), 3. Cam Atkinson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    U. Luukkonen38 saves, .950
  2. ★★
    BUF
    O. Power1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Atkinson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF270434515
PHIPHI210010020240

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    J. Farabee(5)
    T. Sanheim (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:55
  2. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(3)
    J. Peterka (1), J. Skinner (5)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:38
  3. BUF
    B. Biro(1)
    T. Thompson (3), J. Greenway (4)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:00
  4. PHI
    C. Atkinson(6)
    T. Sanheim (9)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:17

3rd period

  1. BUF
    O. Power(1)
    T. Thompson (4), A. Tuch (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:03
  2. BUF
    T. Thompson(5)
    A. Tuch (6)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-2
    13:28
  3. BUF
    B. Biro(2)EN
    C. Mittelstadt (6), P. Krebs (1)
    wristxG 0.96win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-2
    16:52

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:59BUFPeyton Krebs · Trippingdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 4:54PHITravis Sanheim · Cross checkingdrawn by Erik Johnson2 min
  • 18:27PHINicolas Deslauriers · Roughingdrawn by Henri Jokiharju2 min

3rd

  • 3:25BUFMattias Samuelsson · High stickingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min
  • 18:07BUFPeyton Krebs · Hookingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalBUF goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Owen Power, 3rd 3:03 — BUF 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.32T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.22O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.14N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.13M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.12O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.12G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.09L. Belpedio · On goal · xG 0.09C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.09T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.08T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.08S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.08B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.08J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.08O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.05N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.05L. Belpedio · On goal · xG 0.05T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.04T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.04N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.04C. York · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.00J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.00T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 3.0 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsPHI
2.34 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.34 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF20%80%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.34 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsPHI
15
Shots on goal
40
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
33
18
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23M. SamuelssonD000+100.03632—26:07
26R. DahlinD000+110.02400—23:49
25O. PowerD101+310.07020—23:45
10H. JokiharjuD000+230.02050—19:28
72T. ThompsonC123+310.170203617:59
89A. TuchR022+210.11310—17:50
6E. JohnsonD000000.01100—16:20
53J. SkinnerL011020.12000—15:38
12J. GreenwayL011+200.00100—15:36
21K. OkposoR000-100.140002515:23
37C. MittelstadtC112010.131104615:12
77J. PeterkaR011020.14010—15:02
24D. CozensC000010.040005014:33
28Z. GirgensonsC000000.081005014:01
19P. KrebsC011+100.020046913:06
17T. JostC000000.00000011:16
15B. BiroL202+221.17010—10:39
78J. BrysonD000-100.00120—08:23
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)40382.9503.03+1.0360:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).