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San Jose Sharks at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NBCSCA, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Sharks scored first; the Capitals answered. The Sharks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tom Wilson's goal at 15:15 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were SJS 31, WSH 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tom Wilson (1 G), 2. Darcy Kuemper (30 saves, .968), 3. Mackenzie Blackwood (39 saves, .951).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Wilson1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    D. Kuemper30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Blackwood39 saves, .951

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS110011010131
WSHWSH012013317342

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.34win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:40

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.03win prob +25 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:18
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.08win prob +39 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:15
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.53win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:02

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·WSH 0 PIM

1st

  • 14:39SJSMario Ferraro · High stickingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min

2nd

  • 1:43SJSMario Ferraro · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 15:36SJSFabian Zetterlund · Holdingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalSJS goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Tom Wilson, 3rd 15:15 — WSH 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.53B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.34T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.23A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.18T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.17A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.16A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.15T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.09A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.08T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.08T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.08J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.02T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.02H. Haman Aktell · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01H. Haman Aktell · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Haman Aktell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Haman Aktell · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.00T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 3.3 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsWSH
2.21 G
All situations
2 G3.3
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS39%61%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsWSH
31
Shots on goal
42
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/0
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
0
23
Hits
27
24
Blocked shots
20
10
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. EmbersonD011+100.00140—21:15
38M. FerraroD011+140.08024—21:02
44M. VlasicD000-120.03040—20:58
48T. HertlC000-220.072004720:06
84J. RuttaD000-110.03010—19:04
4K. BurroughsD000-240.05620—18:46
64M. GranlundC000+120.312107117:47
11L. KuninC101030.633203317:42
10A. DuclairL000-200.092205017:14
72W. EklundL000-120.13210—16:57
5M. BenningD000-110.01020—16:45
20F. ZetterlundL000-210.26102—15:34
7N. SturmC000-100.011003315:07
22R. CarpenterC000040.051104413:06
18F. ZadinaR000000.00010—13:01
62K. LabancR000020.02100—12:18
68M. HoffmanC000-110.04110010:05
54G. SmithR000020.39000—07:43
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(L)41392.9512.79+0.7959:30

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).