Islanders at Blue Jackets 2-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

New York Islanders

▸2

Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV BSOH, MSGSN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 2-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Palmieri's goal at 15:45 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 47% to 61%. Expected goals were close — NYI 3.8, CBJ 3.8; shots on goal were NYI 34, CBJ 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 3.8 goals saved above expected; Spencer Martin stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (34 saves, 1.000), 2. Spencer Martin (32 saves, .941), 3. Kyle Palmieri (1 G).

Three stars

★
S. Varlamov34 saves, 1.000
★★
S. Martin32 saves, .941
★★★
K. Palmieri1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYI	114	010	110	234
CBJ	011	07	016	034

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

K. Palmieri(3)
P. Engvall (3), S. Aho (1)
snapxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
1-0
15:45

3rd period

M. Martin(1)
C. Cizikas (2)
snapxG 0.22win prob +9 ptsVideo
2-0
16:39

Penalties

6 PIM·

6 PIM

1st

10:27Johnny Gaudreau · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
13:01Jack Roslovic · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
17:40Anders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

2nd

6:06Noah Dobson · Cross checkingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
11:13Emil Bemstrom · Hookingdrawn by Pierre Engvall2 min

3rd

7:22Kyle Palmieri · Hookingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CBJ

Biggest swing: Kyle Palmieri, 1st 15:45 — NYI 47% → 61%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 3.8 xG · 48 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 3.8 xG · 58 att CBJ

0 G · 3.8 xG · 48 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.82 G
All situations: 0 G3.8; 3.02 G
Even strength: 0 G2.8; 0.90 G
Power play: 0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

52%48%

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.80 – 3.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

34
Shots on goal: 34; 57%
Faceoffs: 43%; 0/3
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 6; 14
Hits: 10; 19
Blocked shots: 15; 1
Giveaways: 4; 3
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

New York Islanders skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
8N. DobsonD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	0	1	2	—	25:25
28A. RomanovD	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	2	3	0	—	23:08
6R. PulockD	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	2	0	—	22:43
3A. PelechD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.07	2	3	0	—	20:23
29B. NelsonC	0	0	0	+1	8	1.09	0	0	0	43	18:50
21K. PalmieriC	1	0	1	+1	4	0.49	0	0	2	0	18:29
14B. HorvatC	0	0	0	0	4	0.43	0	2	0	22	16:57
44J. PageauC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	80	15:44
53C. CizikasC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.10	2	2	0	75	15:10
27A. LeeL	0	0	0	0	2	0.36	0	1	2	—	14:54
13M. BarzalC	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	1	0	0	14:52
18P. EngvallL	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	0	1	0	—	14:07
26O. WahlstromR	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	2	0	0	—	13:51
15C. ClutterbuckR	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	100	13:31
25S. AhoD	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	0	1	0	—	12:33
10S. HolmstromR	0	0	0	0	2	0.37	0	1	0	—	12:03
17M. MartinL	1	0	1	+1	3	0.41	1	0	0	—	11:05
4S. BolducD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	1	0	—	10:15

New York Islanders goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
40S. Varlamov(W)	34	34	0	1.000	3.82	+3.82	60:00

Season series

NYI leads 3-0

Oct 282@0this game
Dec 73@7Final
Apr 44@2Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score