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Minnesota Wild at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Minnesota Wild 6-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Owen Tippett's goal at 6:34 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 80% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were MIN 28, PHI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 29 of 35 (.829), 3.1 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Bobby Brink (2 G), 2. Travis Sanheim (1 G, 2 A), 3. Sean Couturier (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    B. Brink2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Sanheim1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0409215228
PHIPHI112213310635

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:57

2nd period

  1. PHI
    backhandxG 0.48win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:28
  2. PHI
    B. Brink(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    9:52

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.22win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    3:05
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:30
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    6:34
  4. PHI
    wristxG 0.41win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-5
    11:02
  5. PHI
    wristxG 0.07Video
    2-6
    14:46

Penalties

MIN 11 PIM·PHI 9 PIM

1st

  • 0:02MINPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 0:02PHINicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
  • 9:31PHITravis Konecny · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

2nd

  • 7:11MINVinni Lettieri · Holdingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min
  • 8:34MINJake Middleton · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min
  • 18:21PHISean Walker · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

3rd

  • 16:36MINJon Merrill · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalMIN goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Owen Tippett, 3rd 6:34 — PHI 80% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.48B. Brink · Goal · xG 0.41S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.20O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.17T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.16B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.16T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.12B. Brink · Goal · xG 0.12T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.11T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.10G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.10T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.06T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.05B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.05L. Belpedio · Missed · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.00C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI6 G · 2.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsPHI
2.32 G
All situations
6 G2.9
2.12 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN39%61%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsPHI
28
Shots on goal
35
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
2/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
12
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
16
13
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000-200.08040—23:00
97K. KaprizovL000-330.30020—22:48
7B. FaberD000-240.23020—21:31
2C. AddisonD000-110.05010—20:52
36M. ZuccarelloR000-240.18010—18:36
14J. Eriksson EkC000-110.001005317:30
38R. HartmanR000-230.201104617:28
4J. MerrillD011010.08022—17:25
6D. MermisD101+110.22100—17:05
90M. JohanssonL011+120.22000—17:01
5J. MiddletonD000010.22102—16:45
23M. RossiC011+110.080105015:27
17M. FolignoL101+120.20200—15:16
20P. MaroonL011-120.26205—13:52
10V. LettieriC000010.020028012:33
26C. DewarC000000.000003810:39
21B. DuhaimeL000000.0230010010:37
16J. KhairaL000010.00110—08:05
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)35296.8292.92-3.0859:55

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).