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Flyers at Golden Knights
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
FinalTV ESPN, ESPN+·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Theodore's goal at 19:27 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 51% to 97%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.2, VGK 2.3; shots on goal were PHI 28, VGK 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.7 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Shea Theodore (1 G), 2. Paul Cotter (1 G), 3. Ivan Barbashev (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    P. Cotter1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    I. Barbashev1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI2801208228
VGKVGK1609214329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    I. Barbashev(2)
    J. Eichel (4), J. Marchessault (1)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:54
  2. PHI
    N. Cates(1)
    J. Farabee (1), T. Sanheim (5)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:07
  3. PHI
    C. Atkinson(4)
    O. Tippett (3), C. York (1)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:19

3rd period

  1. VGK
    P. Cotter(2)
    W. Karlsson (5), K. Korczak (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +35 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:06
  2. VGK
    S. Theodore(2)
    J. Eichel (5), B. McNabb (4)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +45 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:27

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:47VGKKaedan Korczak · Cross checkingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min

2nd

  • 0:34PHICam York · Holdingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 19:26PHITyson Foerster · Slashingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min

3rd

  • 4:11PHITravis Sanheim · Holdingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min
  • 4:38VGKMark Stone · Trippingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalPHI goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Shea Theodore, 3rd 19:27 — VGK 51% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.27I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.25J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.22J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.20N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.11W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.11S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.10N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.08M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.05P. Cotter · Goal · xG 0.05A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.02K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.02K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 2.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsVGK
2.22 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.22 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI48%52%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsVGK
28
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
20
29
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD011-230.07242—25:31
26S. WalkerD000+130.12330—24:26
8C. YorkD011-220.02032—22:02
14S. CouturierC000-220.090105219:34
10B. BrinkR000+100.03010—19:18
27N. CatesL101+141.070103218:11
5E. ZamulaD000+100.03010—17:25
11T. KonecnyR000-110.0212010016:58
24N. SeelerD000020.02010—16:47
89C. AtkinsonR101-130.13020—16:29
86J. FarabeeL011010.03210—16:23
74O. TippettR011030.08130—15:00
21S. LaughtonC000030.292106013:13
71T. FoersterR000-100.00202—12:33
36E. AndraeD000000.00040—11:59
44N. DeslauriersL000000.0050010009:57
25R. PoehlingC000010.040001409:33
19G. HathawayR000000.11410—08:56
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)29263.8972.34-0.6659:45

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).