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Columbus Blue Jackets at Minnesota Wild

Final/OTTV BSOH, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Minnesota Wild 5-4 in overtime, Jack Roslovic scoring at 3:07. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Roslovic's goal at 3:07 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were CBJ 54, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.8 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 49 of 54 (.907), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Roslovic (1 G), 2. Boone Jenner (1 G), 3. Jonas Brodin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    J. Roslovic1 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    B. Jenner1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Brodin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJCBJ11112221714554
MINMIN0102621002428

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.41win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:55

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    6:10
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:21
  3. MIN
    snapxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:15

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:42
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.21win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-3
    7:36
  3. CBJ
    wristxG 0.10win prob +34 ptsVideo
    4-3
    14:41
  4. MIN
    wristxG 0.05win prob +42 ptsVideo
    4-4
    17:01

Overtime

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.14win prob +51 ptsVideo
    5-4
    3:07

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:06CBJDavid Jiricek · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 15:01MINCalen Addison · Holdingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min

2nd

  • 10:18MINPatrick Maroon · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Elvis Merzlikins2 min
  • 16:06CBJDamon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min

3rd

  • 11:02CBJBoone Jenner · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 13:05MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Interferencedrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCBJ goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Jack Roslovic, OT 3:07 — CBJ 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.17K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.13M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.13B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.11P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.11F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.09M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.07B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Brodin · Goal · xG 0.06B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05D. Mermis · Missed · xG 0.04P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.04J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.03C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Mermis · Missed · xG 0.03P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Mermis · Goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsMIN
4.45 G
All situations
4 G2.2
3.54 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 108 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ81%19%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.32 – 2.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsMIN
54
Shots on goal
28
66%
Faceoffs
34%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
16
27
Blocked shots
23
2
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD011+150.30110—26:59
38B. JennerC101080.451528122:46
9I. ProvorovD011000.02040—22:44
78D. SeversonD022+230.15112—21:34
13J. GaudreauL011+170.29010—20:57
44E. GudbransonD000-230.07180—19:37
86K. MarchenkoR000030.62110—19:04
11A. FantilliC101-240.310003617:01
42A. TexierL000-200.00110—16:38
22J. BeanD000-210.04010—15:58
96J. RoslovicC101080.9611010015:33
7S. KuralyC000000.001005413:57
91K. JohnsonC101+140.27000013:41
52E. BemstromC000030.17010012:18
55D.JiricekD011000.05012—12:13
4C. SillingerC011+100.031008211:29
24M. OlivierR011000.00010—10:35
17J. DanforthR101050.700006710:22
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(W)28244.8572.19-1.8163:02

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).