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Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV BSW, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Minnesota Wild 7-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Kings led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Luc Dubois's goal at 19:14 of the first period, which took the Kings' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were LAK 27, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.5 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 3.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pierre-Luc Dubois (2 G), 2. Kevin Fiala (2 A), 3. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    P. Dubois2 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    K. Fiala2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK4701139727
MINMIN28014110332

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:39
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:21
  3. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:00
  4. LAK
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:46
  5. LAK
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:02
  6. LAK
    wristxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:14

3rd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.18win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-2
    10:13
  2. MIN
    snapxG 0.11win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-3
    14:38
  3. LAK
    M. Roy (1)
    wristxG 0.48win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-3
    17:41
  4. LAK
    wristxG 0.46Video
    7-3
    18:52

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·MIN 0 PIM

1st

  • 8:00LAKserved by A. Kaliyev · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 16:16LAKQuinton Byfield · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min

2nd

  • 6:19LAKAdrian Kempe · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

3rd

  • 18:08LAKArthur Kaliyev · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalLAK goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Pierre-Luc Dubois, 1st 19:14 — LAK 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.19J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.18J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.17J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.14M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.12M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.11B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.11M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.10C. Dewar · Goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.08B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.07P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.07J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.06P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.06P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.04C. Addison · Missed · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03D. Mermis · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.03C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02C. Addison · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02C. Addison · Missed · xG 0.02M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.01C. Addison · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsMIN
2.95 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.75 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK37%63%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsMIN
27
Shots on goal
32
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/0
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
0
22
Hits
28
8
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD011+210.08230—24:13
8D. DoughtyD011+230.08110—24:06
44M. AndersonD011+110.02310—23:05
84V. GavrikovD101+320.14010—22:26
24P. DanaultC000040.250004317:53
11A. KopitarC011+100.011105617:26
9A. KempeR112+230.67702—15:53
12T. MooreL101040.2810010015:10
5A. EnglundD011000.00200—15:03
78A. LaferriereR000010.12000—15:00
55Q. ByfieldR000+200.0000210014:35
22K. FialaL022020.15010—14:18
34A. KaliyevR011010.04202—14:00
80P. DuboisC202+130.32100713:50
46B. LizotteC101+210.461003612:04
61T. LewisC000+200.220003311:20
21J. SpenceD000000.00100—11:13
91C. GrundstromR101+110.0800010010:33
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(W)32293.9062.46-0.5460:00

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).