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Seattle Kraken at Nashville Predators

FinalTV ROOT-NW, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Seattle Kraken 3-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colton Sissons's goal at 10:24 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 51% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 5.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were SEA 23, NSH 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 23 of 23 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (23 saves, 1.000), 2. Colton Sissons (1 G), 3. Gustav Nyquist (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros23 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    C. Sissons1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    G. Nyquist1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA0120407023
NSHNSH01511327335

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +20 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:24

3rd period

  1. NSH
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:03
  2. NSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.43win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-3
    18:19

Penalties

SEA 8 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:21SEAWill Borgen · Cross checkingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 1:21NSHFilip Forsberg · High stickingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min
  • 19:37SEABrian Dumoulin · Slashingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min

2nd

  • 0:07SEAJamie Oleksiak · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:55NSHCody Glass · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
  • 12:05SEAVince Dunn · Cross checkingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

3rd

  • 4:24NSHColton Sissons · High stickingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSEA goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Colton Sissons, 2nd 10:24 — NSH 51% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.71Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.56J. Parssinen · Goal · xG 0.43F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.23R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.22D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.21T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.18C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.17C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.16R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.15L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.14F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.14Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.13F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.12Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.11G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.11R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.11C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.10L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.10C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.07G. Nyquist · Goal · xG 0.07K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.06D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.05J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.04C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.02C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.00F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 5.2 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsNSH
2.50 G
All situations
2 G5.2
1.70 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.80 G
Power play
0 G1.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA23%77%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 4.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsNSH
23
Shots on goal
35
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
33
19
Blocked shots
21
11
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD000-210.09102—22:34
6A. LarssonD000-100.00460—21:02
24J. OleksiakD000000.00232—19:16
10M. BeniersC000-100.111005019:14
21A. WennbergC000-110.132102718:20
95A. BurakovskyL000030.35000—17:55
37Y. GourdeC000-110.130005017:36
8B. DumoulinD000010.04122—17:23
3W. BorgenD000010.04002—17:07
4J. SchultzD000-120.06020—16:59
17J. SchwartzL000-230.153105016:45
7J. EberleR000010.370006716:43
19J. McCannL000020.26100—16:32
22O. BjorkstrandR000-130.42100—15:52
20E. TolvanenR000-210.05320—13:36
56K. YamamotoR000-300.00100—11:26
52T. KartyeL000-130.27210—08:44
41P. BellemareL000000.020105007:04
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)34322.9414.21+2.2157:52

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).