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Oilers at Avalanche
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸2
Colorado Avalanche
1
Final/OTTV SN1, TVAS·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Colorado Avalanche 2-1 in overtime, Evan Bouchard scoring at 1:50. The Avalanche scored first; the Oilers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Bouchard's goal at 1:50 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 40, COL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Evan Bouchard (1 G), 2. Mattias Ekholm (1 G), 3. Alexandar Georgiev (38 saves, .950).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    M. Ekholm1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Georgiev38 saves, .950

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM1801701213240
COLCOL190701300129

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    B. Meyers(4)
    Unassisted
    xG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:52
  2. EDM
    M. Ekholm(9)
    R. McLeod (12), W. Foegele (15)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:28

Overtime

  1. EDM
    E. Bouchard(7)PPG
    C. McDavid (88), L. Draisaitl (74)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    1:50

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·COL 8 PIM

2nd

  • 2:30EDMKlim Kostin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:16COLBowen Byram · Slashingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 14:46COLDevon Toews · High sticking double minordrawn by Zach Hyman4 min

3rd

  • 4:40EDMRyan McLeod · High stickingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 14:53EDMEvander Kane · High stickingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

OT

  • 1:09COLBowen Byram · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalEDM goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Evan Bouchard, OT 1:50 — EDM 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.39N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.25B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.22M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.11J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.08J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.07B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.06D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.02B. Meyers · Goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.00S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.00S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00
COL1 G · 3.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCOL
2.62 G
All situations
1 G3.0
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.71 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM43%57%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCOL
40
Shots on goal
29
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
13
14
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000020.04450—24:46
29L. DraisaitlC011000.002007424:22
2E. BouchardD101+120.29120—22:34
97C. McDavidC011070.610005022:18
14M. EkholmD101+130.07000—22:07
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000020.20200021:44
73V. DesharnaisD000000.05130—20:08
91E. KaneL000030.10602—19:41
18Z. HymanL000070.49100—19:04
56K. YamamotoR000020.06300—16:14
27B. KulakD000-110.02120—15:36
10D. RyanC000+110.1100010012:01
86P. BrobergD000-120.06000—12:01
71R. McLeodC011+120.120022511:45
37W. FoegeleL011+110.12000—11:31
72N. BjugstadC000-140.160104409:45
26M. JanmarkC000-110.08110009:00
21K. KostinC000-100.00302005:34
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)292911.0002.97+1.9761:50

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).