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Avalanche at Kings
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
Los Angeles Kings
3
FinalTV ALT, BSW·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Hunt's goal at 1:50 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.9 to 2.8; shots on goal were COL 23, LAK 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 38 of 41 (.927), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Pheonix Copley stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adrian Kempe (2 G, 1 A), 2. Anze Kopitar (3 A), 3. Denis Malgin (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    D. Malgin2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0427212423
LAKLAK01821419341

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    D. Malgin(11)
    J. Compher (35), K. MacDermid (5)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    1:28
  2. COL
    A. Newhook(14)
    D. Toews (38)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:30
  3. LAK
    A. Kempe(37)
    A. Kopitar (43), Q. Byfield (19)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    7:34
  4. LAK
    V. Arvidsson(26)PPG
    A. Kempe (25), A. Kopitar (44)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    12:55

3rd period

  1. COL
    B. Hunt(4)
    L. Eller (11)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +25 pts
    3-2
    1:50
  2. COL
    D. Malgin(12)
    V. Nichushkin (28)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    6:18
  3. LAK
    A. Kempe(38)
    V. Gavrikov (13), A. Kopitar (45)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    4-3
    6:44

Penalties

COL 16 PIM·LAK 16 PIM

1st

  • 8:10COLAndrew Cogliano · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Spence2 min
  • 17:48LAKPhillip Danault · Slashingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

2nd

  • 11:58COLMikko Rantanen · High stickingdrawn by Vladislav Gavrikov2 min

3rd

  • 14:59LAKBlake Lizotte · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 19:56COLMikko Rantanen · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:56LAKSean Durzi · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 19:56LAKAdrian Kempe · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:56COLAndrew Cogliano · Illegal check to headdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Brad Hunt, 3rd 1:50 — COL 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.23A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.20A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.14A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.14A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.14V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.14R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.13V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.12P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.12R. Kupari · Missed · xG 0.12A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.12S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.11S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.11A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.10A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.10Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.10A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.09P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.08P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.08R. Kupari · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.07B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.06Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.06M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.04T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.00V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.00D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 3.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
2.84 G
All situations
3 G3.9
1.84 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL25%75%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 3.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
23
Shots on goal
41
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/2
16
Penalty minutes
16
22
Hits
19
18
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD011-120.06200—26:09
3J. JohnsonD000+230.16230—24:37
49S. GirardD000-210.11010—23:11
37J. CompherL011+200.030202321:44
96M. RantanenR000-200.7501124021:32
13V. NichushkinR011+250.29040—20:56
29N. MacKinnonC000-220.501004720:38
6E. JohnsonD000+110.13510—18:15
9E. RodriguesC000-210.05110017:09
20L. EllerC011+110.121106716:19
25L. O'ConnorR000+100.00200—15:19
17B. HuntD101+220.08100—14:43
11A. CoglianoC000+100.07324012:23
81D. MalginC202+220.24000011:58
56K. MacDermidL011+210.01120—09:06
83M. NietoL000+110.07100—07:55
18A. NewhookC101+110.111006007:37
59B. MeyersC000+100.00100007:28
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)41383.9273.87+0.8760:00

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).