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Predators at Jets
NHL

Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
0
Winnipeg Jets
▸2
FinalTV BSSO, SNW·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Nashville Predators 2-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 15:06 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were NSH 28, WPG 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 A), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (28 saves, 1.000), 3. Juuse Saros (36 saves, .947).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck28 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros36 saves, .947

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0805015028
WPGWPG07120111238

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(40)
    V. Namestnikov (17), J. Morrissey (57)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +21 pts
    0-1
    15:06

3rd period

  1. WPG
    N. Pionk(10)
    N. Ehlers (25), B. Wheeler (39)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    1:36

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:20NSHCody Glass · Trippingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 7:44WPGDylan DeMelo · Boardingdrawn by Zachary Sanford2 min
  • 12:47NSHserved by K. Sherwood · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 15:36NSHColton Sissons · Trippingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNSH goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 2nd 15:06 — WPG 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.71M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.22N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.17M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.14P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.13N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.13N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.11K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.08K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.07N. Pionk · Goal · xG 0.07J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.06M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.06P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.06S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.06P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.05P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.03M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 4.1 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsWPG
2.10 G
All situations
2 G4.1
1.40 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.80 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH28%72%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 3.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsWPG
28
Shots on goal
38
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
32
Hits
31
25
Blocked shots
8
10
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD000010.10330—23:56
57D. FabbroD000020.03840—23:56
81S. StastneyD000-100.00020—18:38
13Y. TreninC000030.18310018:36
10C. SissonsC000020.142124718:32
22T. BarrieD000-110.03200—18:18
12Z. SanfordL000-110.41130—18:03
26P. TomasinoR000-130.12000—17:01
52C. FooteD000-110.03020—16:25
82T. NovakC000000.001103815:52
8C. GlassC000-130.511126715:32
23J. LivingstoneD000-100.00240—14:52
77L. EvangelistaR000030.16010—14:23
71R. AsplundC000020.05000013:48
47M. McCarronC000-130.12200013:37
44K. SherwoodL000030.25510—13:25
17M. JankowskiL000-100.000101113:12
70E. AfanasyevL000-100.00200—08:03
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)38362.9473.43+1.4357:52

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).