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Canadiens at Maple Leafs
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸7
FinalTV SN, CBC·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Montréal Canadiens 7-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 3:56 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 69% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 5.0 to 1.2; shots on goal were MTL 21, TOR 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 95% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 39 of 46 (.848), 2.0 goals below expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 20 of 21 (.952). Three stars: 1. Mitch Marner (2 G, 1 A), 2. John Tavares (2 G), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Marner2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares2 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    R. O'Reilly3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0111406121
TORTOR218216312746

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Marner(29)PPG
    A. Matthews (43), E. Gustafsson (33)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    9:08
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(34)PPG
    M. Marner (68), R. O'Reilly (10)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    15:16

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Kovacevic(3)
    M. Matheson (26), N. Suzuki (40)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:28
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(38)
    R. O'Reilly (11)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    3:56
  3. TOR
    M. Marner(30)
    M. Bunting (26), A. Matthews (44)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    4:52

3rd period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(35)PPG
    R. O'Reilly (12), E. Gustafsson (34)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    6:01
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(39)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10
    1-6
    13:51
  3. TOR
    M. Bunting(23)PPG
    A. Matthews (45), E. Gustafsson (35)
    tip-inxG 0.09
    1-7
    16:50

Penalties

MTL 21 PIM·TOR 17 PIM

1st

  • 1:34MTLJake Evans · Hookingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 8:39MTLJustin Barron · High stickingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 14:30MTLChris Wideman · Trippingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min
  • 15:19TORWayne Simmonds · Fightingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta5 min
  • 15:19MTLMichael Pezzetta · Fightingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds5 min
  • 17:53TORserved by M. Bunting · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 17:56TORLuke Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Rafael Harvey-Pinard2 min

3rd

  • 1:00TORRyan O'Reilly · High stickingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 5:32MTLRafael Harvey-Pinard · Trippingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min
  • 6:01MTLserved by D. Gurianov · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 11:21TORMichael Bunting · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 11:21TORWayne Simmonds · Roughingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 11:21TORWayne Simmonds · Roughingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 11:21MTLJoel Edmundson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 11:21MTLJoel Edmundson · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 14:59MTLNick Suzuki · Interferencedrawn by David Kampf2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalMTL goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: William Nylander, 2nd 3:56 — TOR 69% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.32W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.27W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.23W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.18J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.18J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.17M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.17M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.16W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.16W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.16W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.15M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.15M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.14J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.14J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.13J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.11A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.10J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.10W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.09M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.09L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.09W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.08W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.07M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.06M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.06N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.06J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.05S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.05J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.04M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.04E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.03J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.00E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.00L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR7 G · 5.0 xG · 66 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTOR
1.21 G
All situations
7 G5.0
1.01 G
Even strength
3 G3.7
0.20 G
Power play
4 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL5%95%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.19 – 4.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTOR
21
Shots on goal
46
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/4
Power play
4/6
21
Penalty minutes
17
28
Hits
29
10
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
3
3
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD011+120.07130—29:45
26J. KovacevicD101020.04400—22:18
14N. SuzukiC011+120.100126218:02
40J. ArmiaR000+110.0940010017:44
6C. WidemanD000-120.05112—17:29
52J. BarronD000-200.00322—16:42
68M. HoffmanC000000.00000016:35
11B. GallagherR000-160.51210—16:28
25D. GurianovR000-200.00100—16:23
27J. DrouinL000-100.001005515:55
49R. Harvey-PinardL000+100.00102—15:47
44J. EdmundsonD000-130.03114—15:08
32R. PitlickC000000.13000014:33
71J. EvansC000-210.010025014:14
67C. TierneyC000020.120105012:59
56J. YlonenR000-200.00000—11:25
64C. SchuenemanD000-100.03100—10:32
55M. PezzettaL000-100.00805—10:26
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)46397.8485.04-1.9659:54

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).