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Lightning at Rangers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
New York Rangers
▸6
FinalMadison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 6-3. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Motte's goal at 7:25 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.1 to 3.4; shots on goal were TBL 31, NYR 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 1.9 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Tyler Motte (2 G), 2. Chris Kreider (2 G), 3. Mika Zibanejad (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    T. Motte2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    C. Kreider2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL1821706331
NYRNYR31219216637

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(34)PPG
    V. Tarasenko (29), M. Zibanejad (45)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    6:13
  2. NYR
    K. Kakko(17)
    F. Chytil (23), K. Miller (33)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:41
  3. NYR
    T. Motte(7)
    B. Goodrow (18), B. Schneider (13)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    10:21
  4. TBL
    A. Killorn(25)PPG
    M. Sergachev (51), N. Kucherov (78)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    10:40

2nd period

  1. TBL
    D. Raddysh(1)
    A. Killorn (36), B. Hagel (33)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    7:10
  2. NYR
    T. Motte(8)
    A. Lafrenière (23), B. Goodrow (19)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    7:25
  3. TBL
    B. Hagel(28)
    A. Cirelli (17), V. Hedman (38)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    11:34

3rd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(35)
    M. Zibanejad (46), A. Fox (57)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +13 pts
    3-5
    11:38
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin(26)PPG
    M. Zibanejad (47), A. Fox (58)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    13:49

Penalties

TBL 42 PIM·NYR 28 PIM

1st

  • 5:29TBLSteven Stamkos · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 10:28NYRAlexis Lafrenière · High stickingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 17:09NYRBen Harpur · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
  • 17:09TBLPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Ben Harpur5 min
  • 17:09TBLPatrick Maroon · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ben Harpur2 min
  • 19:54NYRK'Andre Miller · High stickingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

2nd

  • 8:50NYRAdam Fox · Slashingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 11:34TBLAnthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 11:34NYRRyan Lindgren · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 11:34TBLAlex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Igor Shesterkin2 min
  • 16:13TBLCorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck5 min
  • 16:13NYRVincent Trocheck · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 19:25TBLRoss Colton · Instigatordrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
  • 19:25NYRBraden Schneider · Fightingdrawn by Ross Colton5 min
  • 19:25TBLRoss Colton · Fightingdrawn by Braden Schneider5 min
  • 19:25TBLRoss Colton · Misconductdrawn by Braden Schneider10 min

3rd

  • 12:41TBLNikita Kucherov · Trippingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
  • 20:00NYRBen Harpur · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 20:00TBLCorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Ben Harpur5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalTBL goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Motte, 2nd 7:25 — NYR 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.34C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.27B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.22M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.18K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.17T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.15A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.14C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.14K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.13K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.13K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.12T. Motte · Goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.11C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.09F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.09T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.08F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.07C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.07C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.05T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.03T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · Goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.00J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.00K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR6 G · 4.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsNYR
3.43 G
All situations
6 G4.1
2.92 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.51 G
Power play
2 G1.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL37%63%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.17 – 4.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsNYR
31
Shots on goal
37
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/3
Power play
2/5
42
Penalty minutes
28
21
Hits
22
11
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
4
7
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011-310.02110—22:30
98M. SergachevD011010.16130—22:11
86N. KucherovR011-210.1511210021:46
81E. CernakD000+110.02100—20:52
91S. StamkosC000-230.451124720:21
21B. PointC000-220.3200010020:03
38B. HagelL112+240.50000—19:02
28I. ColeD000+100.18300—18:36
43D. RaddyshD101040.28130—17:34
41P. BellemareL000-200.002003316:01
17A. KillornL112+210.10202—15:28
20N. PaulL000010.031106714:39
48N. PerbixD000-330.12100—14:25
84T. JeannotL000-130.18200—12:25
71A. CirelliC011+220.501127510:34
10C. PerryR000-220.172010—09:11
14P. MaroonL000-100.00107—09:00
79R. ColtonC000020.200017007:30
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)37316.8384.09-1.9160:00

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).