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Flames at Jets
NHL

Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸3
Winnipeg Jets
1
FinalTV SN, TVAS·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Jets scored first; the Flames answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Walker Duehr's goal at 4:08 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were CGY 35, WPG 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (34 saves, .971), 2. Nikita Zadorov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom34 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Zadorov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY07113215335
WPGWPG19012014135

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(31)PPG
    N. Ehlers (24), P. Dubois (35)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    11:42

2nd period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(17)
    M. Backlund (36)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:06

3rd period

  1. CGY
    W. Duehr(7)
    T. Lewis (11), N. Zadorov (7)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.10win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    4:08
  2. CGY
    N. Zadorov(11)
    J. Huberdeau (39), A. Mangiapane (23)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    10:40

Penalties

CGY 14 PIM·WPG 16 PIM

1st

  • 1:44WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Boardingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 3:57WPGJosh Morrissey · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:52CGYNick Ritchie · Cross checkingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 9:07CGYMilan Lucic · High sticking double minordrawn by Saku Maenalanen4 min
  • 20:00WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min

2nd

  • 6:06WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 6:06CGYChris Tanev · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 6:06CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 6:06CGYJacob Markstrom · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 6:06WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 8:42WPGDylan Samberg · Hookingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 11:12CGYTrevor Lewis · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

3rd

  • 1:58WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 7:02WPGBrenden Dillon · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCGY goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Walker Duehr, 3rd 4:08 — CGY 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.23V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.22J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.21J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.15K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.15V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.14A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.14N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.11S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.06K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 3.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsWPG
2.43 G
All situations
1 G3.0
1.43 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY39%61%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsWPG
35
Shots on goal
35
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/6
Power play
1/5
14
Penalty minutes
16
33
Hits
25
13
Blocked shots
6
6
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD000010.02110—23:59
4R. AnderssonD000000.00030—21:57
52M. WeegarD000+110.03150—21:11
28E. LindholmC000040.713203921:09
73T. ToffoliC000030.17010018:38
88A. MangiapaneL112+210.21300—17:58
11M. BacklundC011+210.165003817:46
8C. TanevD000+240.03102—17:29
91N. KadriC000050.163005916:16
27N. RitchieL000040.34302—16:06
16N. ZadorovD112+240.12300—16:04
10J. HuberdeauL011+200.02002—15:04
29D. DubeC000010.0510010014:04
51T. StecherD000+110.01110—13:43
20B. ColemanL000020.01000—11:53
22T. LewisC011+110.151026310:55
71W. DuehrR101+110.10300—08:51
17M. LucicL000+110.08404—08:34
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)35341.9713.03+2.0359:48

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).