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Penguins at Red Wings
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
4
Detroit Red Wings
▸7
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, BSDET·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 7-4. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Perron's goal at 16:20 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 61% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.1 to 3.6; shots on goal were PIT 39, DET 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 18 of 24 (.750), 3.5 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 35 of 39 (.897). Three stars: 1. David Perron (3 G), 2. Moritz Seider (2 A), 3. Dylan Larkin (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Perron3 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    M. Seider2 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT09314116439
DETDET31004411725

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    J. Berggren(13)PPG
    A. Czarnik (2), J. Veleno (10)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:03
  2. DET
    A. Copp(9)
    M. Seider (31), P. Suter (9)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:37
  3. DET
    D. Kubalik(19)
    G. Lindstrom (7), J. Oesterle (6)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    16:07

2nd period

  1. PIT
    J. Zucker(25)
    R. Rakell (27), E. Malkin (51)
    snapxG 0.36win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    4:40
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(33)PPG
    E. Malkin (52), R. Rakell (28)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    7:46
  3. PIT
    J. Carter(12)PPG
    B. Rust (25), J. Petry (22)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    3-3
    8:41

3rd period

  1. DET
    D. Perron(17)
    D. Larkin (43)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +26 pts
    3-4
    4:05
  2. PIT
    J. Archibald(6)
    D. O'Connor (5), K. Letang (25)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    4-4
    5:26
  3. DET
    D. Perron(18)PPG
    M. Seider (32), A. Copp (31)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +31 pts
    4-5
    16:20
  4. DET
    D. Perron(19)
    D. Larkin (44), J. Oesterle (7)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +6 pts
    4-6
    17:05
  5. DET
    D. Larkin(27)EN
    P. Suter (10)
    wristxG 0.87
    4-7
    19:23

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·DET 12 PIM

1st

  • 5:48PITMark Friedman · Slashingdrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min
  • 9:03PITMark Friedman · Boardingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 13:49DETAustin Czarnik · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min

2nd

  • 6:44DETGustav Lindstrom · Trippingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min
  • 7:21DETJake Walman · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 8:41DETserved by D. Perron · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 11:16DETBench · Game misconduct head coach0 min
  • 16:16DETDylan Larkin · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Olivier Joseph2 min

3rd

  • 7:07DETDominik Kubalik · Boardingdrawn by Mark Friedman2 min
  • 16:12PITBryan Rust · High stickingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalPIT goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: David Perron, 3rd 16:20 — DET 61% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.87J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.43D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.31D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.28J. Berggren · Goal · xG 0.18J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.16L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.14J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.13D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.11A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.09J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.08D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.08A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.08M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.07D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.07L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.06D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.06M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.06L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.05D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hirose · Missed · xG 0.04J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.03A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.02L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.02J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.02M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hirose · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.00
DET7 G · 4.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsDET
3.64 G
All situations
6 G4.1
2.02 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
1.62 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT68%32%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.52 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsDET
39
Shots on goal
25
53%
Faceoffs
47%
2/6
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
12
6
Hits
18
17
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011-140.20030—26:57
26J. PetryD011030.13120—24:26
87S. CrosbyC000-120.040305023:31
59J. GuentzelC101-220.37000022:45
17B. RustR011-130.36102—21:34
71E. MalkinC022-260.610105421:04
67R. RakellR022-310.19010—20:57
8B. DumoulinD000000.05030—20:31
16J. ZuckerL101-230.54110—16:05
73P. JosephD000-210.01010—15:31
64M. GranlundC000-140.22100013:55
25R. PoehlingC000-100.080105813:33
77J. CarterC101070.540107011:38
2C. RuhwedelD000-100.00000—11:17
52M. FriedmanD000-100.04004—09:24
15J. ArchibaldR101+120.11200—09:03
10D. O'ConnorL011+110.11000—08:20
43D. HeinenL000000.00000—07:29
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(L)24186.7502.46-3.5457:52

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).