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Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars

FinalTV BSSW, SNP·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Dallas Stars 3-1. The Stars scored first; the Canucks answered. The Canucks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Rathbone's goal at 5:30 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 24, DAL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 21 of 24 (.875). Three stars: 1. Thatcher Demko (25 saves, .962), 2. Brock Boeser (1 G), 3. Ryan Suter (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    T. Demko25 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Boeser1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    R. Suter1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN11021103324
DALDAL1130409126

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    slapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:28
  2. VAN
    D. Joshua(11)SHG
    N. Aman (10)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:24

2nd period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller (43), F. Hronek (30)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:57
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    5:30

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:01DALTy Dellandrea · High stickingdrawn by Jack Rathbone2 min
  • 7:18VANConor Garland · High stickingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 17:18VANEthan Bear · High stickingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

2nd

  • 14:56DALJamie Benn · Cross checkingdrawn by Phillip Di Giuseppe2 min
  • 15:44DALTyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

3rd

  • 3:04VANTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 13:24VANDakota Joshua · Trippingdrawn by Jani Hakanpää2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalVAN goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Jack Rathbone, 2nd 5:30 — VAN 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.21T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.18T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.17J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.13J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.11J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.05T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.05C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.04C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.03T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · Goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL1 G · 1.9 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsDAL
3.43 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.51 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN70%30%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsDAL
24
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
13
21
Blocked shots
7
5
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000+130.10000—27:30
17F. HronekD011020.02110—26:37
9J. MillerC011+110.144106022:08
40E. PetterssonC011+120.140006721:29
57T. MyersD000010.07052—20:48
44K. BurroughsD000+110.02470—18:35
6B. BoeserR101+230.55110—18:34
74E. BearD000+100.09022—17:43
34P. Di GiuseppeL000+100.45000—15:21
96A. KuzmenkoL011+100.00000—14:26
15S. DriesC000020.281105013:50
88N. AmanC011010.250001113:37
72A. BeauvillierR000010.16220—13:03
81D. JoshuaC101010.27102012:19
8C. GarlandR000020.53002—11:40
3J. RathboneD101+120.23000—09:14
92V. PodkolzinR000010.04100—08:56
91V. KravtsovR000-110.05110—06:48
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(W)26251.9621.89+0.8959:22

Season series

VAN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).