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Golden Knights at Canucks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, TVAS·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Dorofeyev's goal at 17:19 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 70% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were VGK 27, VAN 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Thatcher Demko stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (2 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Pietrangelo (1 A), 3. Quinn Hughes (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    J. Miller2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    A. Pietrangelo1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK2142904427
VANVAN05214115334

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:01
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.24win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    12:11

2nd period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller(27)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    7:57
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    10:22
  3. VAN
    J. Miller(28)PPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    12:42
  4. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    17:19

3rd period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller (41), Q. Hughes (62)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +13 pts
    4-3
    11:43

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·VAN 10 PIM

1st

  • 13:11VANTyler Myers · Slashingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min
  • 14:15VANEthan Bear · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

2nd

  • 7:16VANBrock Boeser · Boardingdrawn by Zach Whitecloud2 min
  • 7:57VGKShea Theodore · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by J.T. Miller0 min
  • 11:53VGKPavel Dorofeyev · Hookingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 11:58VANAnthony Beauvillier · Hookingdrawn by Alec Martinez2 min
  • 12:12VGKChandler Stephenson · Hookingdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min

3rd

  • 19:37VANQuinn Hughes · Hookingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalVGK goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Pavel Dorofeyev, 2nd 17:19 — VGK 70% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.39P. Di Giuseppe · Goal · xG 0.25J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.20D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.18S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.11T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.10V. Kravtsov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.06S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.06A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.05B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.05P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.04K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.04K. Burroughs · Missed · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.02V. Kravtsov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01G. Brisebois · On goal · xG 0.00C. Wolanin · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.00S. Dries · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 2.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsVAN
2.54 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.54 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK42%58%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsVAN
27
Shots on goal
34
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
35
12
Blocked shots
14
1
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD011+140.16100—25:10
23A. MartinezD000+110.01020—19:23
49I. BarbashevL000010.50400—18:30
27S. TheodoreD000+130.22020—18:30
9J. EichelC000020.060105018:20
2Z. WhitecloudD000+110.02210—18:14
71W. KarlssonC022+210.000003817:33
81J. MarchessaultR000020.17100—17:26
14N. HagueD011+120.05120—17:06
3B. McNabbD000+100.00300—16:43
20C. StephensonC000010.150124716:41
19R. SmithR101+210.2400010016:04
8P. KesselR101+110.13000—14:09
16P. DorofeyevR101+230.26002—13:37
53T. BluegerC101+120.191107513:16
22M. AmadioR000010.14110—12:48
21B. HowdenC011010.181105012:02
43P. CotterL000+100.00200—11:55
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)34313.9122.91-0.0959:44

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).