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Senators at Penguins
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸2
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, SN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 2-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 14:39 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 14% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were OTT 21, PIT 49. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Dylan Ferguson stopped 48 of 49 (.980), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Dylan Ferguson (48 saves, .980), 2. Drake Batherson (1 G), 3. Rickard Rakell (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    D. Ferguson48 saves, .980
  2. ★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    R. Rakell1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT170618221
PITPIT018014117149

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(10)
    C. Giroux (40), R. Greig (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:46

3rd period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell(25)
    E. Malkin (49), P. Joseph (14)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +38 pts
    1-1
    14:39
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(21)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (42), J. Sanderson (25)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +35 pts
    2-1
    17:51

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:33OTTRidly Greig · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

2nd

  • 3:42OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:53PITKris Letang · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

3rd

  • 10:06OTTJake Sanderson · Interferencedrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 16:55PITChad Ruhwedel · Hookingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalOTT goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 3rd 14:39 — PIT 14% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.23J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.18J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.17J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.16B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.15J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.15R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.14R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.13R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.13M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.09E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.09J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.08D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.08D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.08D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.08M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.07K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.05D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.03T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.01T. Fedun · Missed · xG 0.01P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01P. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.01M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.00P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.00B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT1 G · 3.8 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPIT
2.02 G
All situations
1 G3.8
1.11 G
Even strength
1 G3.1
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT18%82%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 3.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPIT
21
Shots on goal
49
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
36
Hits
29
28
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2A. ZubD000010.02520—21:55
85J. SandersonD011+100.27252—21:43
18T. StützleC000030.440202021:21
28C. GirouxR011010.001105521:00
72T. ChabotD101030.12410—20:01
6J. ChychrunD000000.09110—19:42
23T. HamonicD000010.03230—18:57
7B. TkachukL011060.211002517:45
12A. DeBrincatR000010.1801010017:29
19D. BathersonR101020.49110—16:11
26E. BrannstromD000-100.00210—16:04
57S. PintoC000010.014203316:00
16A. WatsonL000000.02320—12:21
61D. BrassardC000000.001005012:19
27D. GambrellC000000.0033010011:54
77J. GauthierR000000.03330—10:33
17R. GreigC011010.022025010:27
38P. BrownC000010.011003308:18
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34D. Ferguson(W)49481.9803.76+2.7660:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).