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New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, MSGSN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Sharks scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Palmieri's goal at 2:18 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 47% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.9 to 1.3; shots on goal were NYI 33, SJS 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 29 of 30 (.967); Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ilya Sorokin (29 saves, .967), 3. Kevin Labanc (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Pageau1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    K. Labanc1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI11021419433
SJSSJS1908013130

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:31
  2. NYI
    J. Pageau(12)SHG
    wristxG 0.28win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:08

2nd period

  1. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    2:18
  2. NYI
    R. Pulock(4)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    5:24

3rd period

  1. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    5:19

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·SJS 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:23SJSFabian Zetterlund · Interferencedrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 5:17NYIAlexander Romanov · Roughingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 5:17SJSAndreas Johnsson · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
  • 5:17SJSAndreas Johnsson · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
  • 12:04SJSDerrick Pouliot · High stickingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 14:20NYICal Clutterbuck · Boardingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min

2nd

  • 3:55SJSKevin Labanc · Cross checkingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
  • 8:16NYIPierre Engvall · Trippingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
  • 14:57SJSErik Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalNYI goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Palmieri, 2nd 2:18 — NYI 47% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Labanc · Goal · xG 0.10W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.10L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.09N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.09N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.06N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.04M. Kaut · Missed · xG 0.04W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.04W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.04N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.03M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.03W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.03N. Knyzhov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kaut · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pouliot · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.00N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.00L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 1.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsSJS
2.94 G
All situations
1 G1.3
2.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI80%20%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 1.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsSJS
33
Shots on goal
30
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/5
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
12
15
Hits
23
19
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3A. PelechD000020.04010—24:11
6R. PulockD101030.12110—24:03
24S. MayfieldD011+120.02310—22:05
14B. HorvatC000050.320104720:17
28A. RomanovD011+200.00142—20:04
8N. DobsonD011+210.10010—18:48
27A. LeeL000030.38030—17:31
11Z. PariseL101010.04020—17:07
21K. PalmieriC101+110.10000016:35
44J. PageauC112+130.453203516:10
29B. NelsonC000+130.360001015:59
18P. EngvallL011000.08002—15:51
53C. CizikasC011+110.050108013:50
20H. FaschingR011+130.37010—12:50
10S. HolmstromR000010.22010—12:44
17M. MartinL000000.000005012:07
15C. ClutterbuckR000030.21702—11:26
25S. AhoD000-110.03000—04:22
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)30291.9671.28+0.2860:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).