St. Louis Blues at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Kyrou's goal at 4:51 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 22, WSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Hofer (32 saves, .941), 2. Sammy Blais (2 G), 3. Martin Fehérváry (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Hofer32 saves, .941

- ★★S. Blais2 G

- ★★★M. Fehérváry1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-01:54
2nd period
2-04:51
3-09:25
4-014:36
3rd period
4-15:47
4-217:14
5-218:21
Penalties
1st
- 6:58
Nick Leddy · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
- 15:56
Aliaksei Protas · Holdingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
2nd
- 17:37
Kasperi Kapanen · Holdingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min
3rd
- 11:31
Colton Parayko · High stickingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
- 16:35
Justin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jordan Kyrou, 2nd 4:51 — 64% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.44 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.0
- 1.84 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.2
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.9
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.99
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 36%
- Faceoffs
- 64%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 16
- Hits
- 20
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 6
- Giveaways
- 17
- 9
- Takeaways
- 14
Box score
every player line
Season series
STL leads 2-0
4@
5SOFinal
5@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
