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Flyers at Sabres
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸4
Buffalo Sabres
0
FinalTV NBCSP, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-0. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Farabee's goal at 13:31 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were PHI 38, BUF 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Craig Anderson stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Samuel Ersson (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Joel Farabee (1 G, 1 A), 3. Travis Konecny (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Ersson28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PHI
    J. Farabee1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI31601319438
BUFBUF05013010028

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    Z. MacEwen(4)
    P. Brown (3), N. Deslauriers (5)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:04
  2. PHI
    J. Farabee(9)
    T. Sanheim (11), T. Konecny (21)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:31
  3. PHI
    N. Cates(5)
    T. Konecny (22), J. Farabee (14)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    14:58

3rd period

  1. PHI
    W. Allison(5)
    K. Hayes (26)
    pokexG 0.14win prob +3 pts
    4-0
    1:56

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·BUF 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:04BUFPeyton Krebs · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

2nd

  • 0:57BUFMattias Samuelsson · Hookingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min

3rd

  • 7:24BUFKale Clague · Slashingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 13:30PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 13:30BUFRasmus Dahlin · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 13:30PHITravis Sanheim · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalPHI goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Farabee, 1st 13:31 — PHI 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.20P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.20D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.18J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.15J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.13D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.13J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.10P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.10T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.10D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.10T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.09D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.08A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.08T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.06T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.04J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.03A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.03T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03K. Clague · Missed · xG 0.02T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.01O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Clague · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF0 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsBUF
3.34 G
All situations
0 G2.6
2.54 G
Even strength
0 G2.5
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI61%39%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.21 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsBUF
38
Shots on goal
28
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
8
8
Blocked shots
14
3
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45C. YorkD000010.07110—24:14
77T. DeAngeloD000+240.15000—22:18
9I. ProvorovD000010.02020—22:09
11T. KonecnyR022+230.532025017:57
86J. FarabeeL112+240.47000—17:52
48M. FrostC000000.081007117:42
6T. SanheimD011+250.09002—17:28
49N. CatesL101+230.242006417:11
13K. HayesR011+150.510003316:50
74O. TippettR000030.250006716:02
21S. LaughtonC000+110.150003815:55
25J. van RiemsdykL000010.11010—15:16
55R. RistolainenD000+210.01030—15:08
24N. SeelerD000+220.02110—14:18
57W. AllisonR101+130.32200—13:51
38P. BrownC011+100.004006311:55
44N. DeslauriersL011+100.00300—11:55
17Z. MacEwenR101+110.240005009:59
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(W)282801.0002.63+2.6360:00

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).