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New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV MSG 2, TVAS·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime, Vladimir Tarasenko scoring at 2:32. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Tarasenko's goal at 2:32 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.3, PHI 2.4; shots on goal were NYR 25, PHI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Carter Hart stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 2 A), 2. Igor Shesterkin (26 saves, .929), 3. Owen Tippett (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    V. Tarasenko1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin26 saves, .929
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    O. Tippett1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR19091611325
PHIPHI1101100800228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    2:51
  2. PHI
    O. Tippett(18)PPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.21win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    15:05

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.14win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:16

3rd period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    10:33

Overtime

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.11win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    2:32

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·PHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:35PHIScott Laughton · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 4:02NYRArtemi Panarin · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 10:31NYRBarclay Goodrow · Hookingdrawn by Elliot Desnoyers2 min
  • 14:40NYRJacob Trouba · Trippingdrawn by Cam York2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko, OT 2:32 — NYR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.27O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.25O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.22O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.21O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.19M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.18S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.14I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.13S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.06W. Allison · Missed · xG 0.06P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06W. Allison · Missed · xG 0.06O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.05S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.04S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.04S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.02N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.01W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.00J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.00T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 2.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPHI
2.33 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.12 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR48%52%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPHI
25
Shots on goal
28
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
30
Hits
35
7
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000+100.00110—28:25
4B. SchneiderD011000.01420—24:38
8J. TroubaD000-130.04112—24:24
77N. MikkolaD000010.01310—23:57
16V. TrocheckC011020.343005521:39
5B. HarpurD000+100.00110—20:57
93M. ZibanejadC101020.182106120:08
10A. PanarinL011-110.07002—18:53
21B. GoodrowC000-120.1230210018:35
72F. ChytilC011+120.520005517:48
24K. KakkoR000040.29100—17:46
91V. TarasenkoR123+210.11200—17:20
20C. KreiderL101+140.31200—17:17
13A. LafrenièreL000020.25400—16:01
26J. VeseyL000010.00200—08:37
14T. MotteC000000.00100006:46
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)28262.9292.39+0.3962:32

Season series

NYR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).