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Lightning at Red Wings
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
Detroit Red Wings
0
FinalTV BSSUNX, BSDET·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 19:53 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 71% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were TBL 18, DET 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 45 of 45 (1.000), 3.2 goals saved above expected; Ville Husso stopped 15 of 17 (.882), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (45 saves, 1.000), 2. Brayden Point (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy45 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL191316318
DETDET012020013045

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(35)
    N. Kucherov (61), A. Killorn (28)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:04

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(22)
    B. Point (32), N. Paul (12)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    19:53

3rd period

  1. TBL
    A. Killorn(15)EN
    B. Hagel (27)
    snapxG 0.88win prob +1 pts
    3-0
    17:47

Penalties

TBL 8 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:44TBLCorey Perry · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 3:11DETRobby Fabbri · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

2nd

  • 5:43DETMoritz Seider · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 17:04TBLVladislav Namestnikov · Roughingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min

3rd

  • 2:16TBLRoss Colton · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 9:39TBLCal Foote · Holdingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalTBL goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 2nd 19:53 — TBL 71% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.44D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.19J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.15D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.11B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.10O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.10D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.10P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.10F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.10D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.10D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.09F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.06A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.06A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.05P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.05A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.05J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.04O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.04B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.03P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.01O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.00
DET0 G · 3.2 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsDET
2.32 G
All situations
0 G3.2
1.22 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL21%79%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.42 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsDET
18
Shots on goal
45
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
9
Hits
9
29
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000+310.02230—23:56
77V. HedmanD000040.05180—23:24
28I. ColeD000+200.00260—21:58
38B. HagelL011+200.06000—20:30
24Z. BogosianD000000.00120—19:07
71A. CirelliC000010.010502718:19
21B. PointC112+320.410004318:01
86N. KucherovR112+210.07000—17:11
17A. KillornL112+121.12000—16:30
48N. PerbixD000+110.04110—15:48
91S. StamkosC000000.000005515:30
52C. FooteD000010.01102—14:23
20N. PaulL011+120.180006113:50
41P. BellemareL000000.0702010011:21
90V. NamestnikovC000010.07012011:16
10C. PerryR000000.01002—10:42
79R. ColtonC000020.17012010:41
14P. MaroonL000000.00100—09:39
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)454501.0003.23+3.2359:54

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).