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Pittsburgh Penguins at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 11:33 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.5 to 2.8; shots on goal were PIT 28, SJS 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Aaron Dell stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Casey DeSmith (38 saves, .974), 2. Sidney Crosby (3 A), 3. Aaron Dell (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    C. DeSmith38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby3 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    A. Dell25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT1911217328
SJSSJS010017112139

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Petry (14), S. Crosby (39)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    5:52

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby (40), R. Rakell (16)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    11:33

3rd period

  1. SJS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21win prob +9 pts
    2-1
    15:57
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby (41), R. Rakell (17)
    wristxG 0.85win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    19:22

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:42SJSNick Bonino · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Olivier Joseph2 min

2nd

  • 3:51SJSLogan Couture · Holdingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 8:13PITJeff Carter · Trippingdrawn by Steven Lorentz2 min
  • 16:36SJSNoah Gregor · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 19:25PITRickard Rakell · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalPIT goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 2nd 11:33 — PIT 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.27T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.21T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.19N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.18L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.14T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.13T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.13L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.10N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.10N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.05L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.05L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.04K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.04M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.04M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.04M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.02J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 2.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsSJS
4.52 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT48%52%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsSJS
28
Shots on goal
39
33%
Faceoffs
67%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000+110.16230—22:52
26J. PetryD011+120.05110—21:59
8B. DumoulinD000010.02110—21:06
28M. PetterssonD000+220.25210—20:58
67R. RakellR123+210.11112—19:44
87S. CrosbyC033+220.291004719:37
59J. GuentzelC202+341.18000018:52
17B. RustR000000.0810010016:51
71E. MalkinC000020.120203316:11
23B. McGinnL000000.00110—14:56
77J. CarterC000030.39202014:35
16J. ZuckerL000020.36000—14:30
53T. BluegerC000-111.000002114:28
2C. RuhwedelD000010.01300—13:50
73P. JosephD000010.02010—13:23
42K. KapanenR000020.2521010013:05
15J. ArchibaldR000020.06210—09:32
10D. O'ConnorL000010.1310010009:31
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(W)39381.9742.81+1.8160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).