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San Jose Sharks at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NBCSWA, NBCSCA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Washington Capitals 4-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeny Kuznetsov's goal at 16:56 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 14% to 30%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 5.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were SJS 33, WSH 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 12 of 13 (.923), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Erik Karlsson (1 G, 2 A), 2. Alexander Barabanov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    E. Karlsson1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    A. Barabanov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS17113213433
WSHWSH091408121

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:54

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    9:04
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.24win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    16:56

3rd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    12:55
  2. SJS
    T. Hertl(15)EN
    wristxG 0.86win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:49

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:31SJSMichael Eyssimont · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 10:23WSHAlex Ovechkin · Hookingdrawn by Jacob MacDonald2 min
  • 18:37SJSScott Harrington · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 8:09WSHAliaksei Protas · Trippingdrawn by Marc-Edouard Vlasic2 min
  • 18:12WSHGarnet Hathaway · Slashingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
  • 19:50SJSOskar Lindblom · Hookingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min

3rd

  • 14:20WSHDylan Strome · Slashingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalSJS goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Evgeny Kuznetsov, 2nd 16:56 — WSH 14% → 30%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.24N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.18T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.16S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.15N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.15D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.13N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.12D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.12N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.10M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.10N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.10T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.10E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.09T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.09T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.08S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.06E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.03D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.02A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH1 G · 2.5 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsWSH
5.43 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS60%40%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.11 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsWSH
33
Shots on goal
21
63%
Faceoffs
38%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
24
18
Blocked shots
25
10
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD123+230.13010—24:07
38M. FerraroD000+110.09110—22:11
9J. MacDonaldD000+100.03120—19:49
39L. CoutureC011+120.404003819:44
5M. BenningD000000.04220—19:21
28T. MeierR000+150.42010—18:42
48T. HertlC112+121.010107317:38
44M. VlasicD000010.06020—17:16
94A. BarabanovL112020.21010—16:45
13N. BoninoC011+100.00010016:12
7N. SturmC000031.001008715:37
23O. LindblomL000020.28102—15:25
73N. GregorL000051.15520—15:11
21M. EyssimontC000040.3021210014:26
4S. HarringtonD000000.01022—13:34
16S. LorentzC000010.1501010011:39
10E. SvechnikovL101+120.14100—08:58
42J. GadjovichL011+100.00300—07:25
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36K. Kahkonen(W)13121.9231.89+0.8937:04
30A. Dell8801.0000.64+0.6422:56

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).