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Bruins at Hurricanes
NHL

Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Boston Bruins
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV BSSO, NESN·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Boston Bruins 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Stastny's goal at 12:05 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.2 to 1.5; shots on goal were BOS 25, CAR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Frederik Andersen stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jarvis (1 G), 2. Frederik Andersen (24 saves, .960), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS0708110125
CARCAR11511328436

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(21)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:52

2nd period

  1. CAR
    P. Stastny(4)PPG
    M. Necas (24), B. Burns (26)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    12:05

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(8)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    1:57
  2. BOS
    T. Hall(15)
    P. Zacha (24), C. McAvoy (27)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    3:22
  3. CAR
    J. Staal(13)EN
    J. Martinook (14)
    backhandxG 0.92win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    15:40

Penalties

BOS 10 PIM·CAR 14 PIM

1st

  • 5:02BOSNick Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 12:27CARSebastian Aho · Interferencedrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 1:32CARBrady Skjei · Interferencedrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 5:37CARBrett Pesce · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:13CARCalvin de Haan · Trippingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 11:00BOSDerek Forbort · Cross checkingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min
  • 12:00BOSBrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 12:00CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 12:31BOSMarc McLaughlin · Holdingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min

3rd

  • 8:17BOSDavid Pastrnak · Interferencedrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 11:47CARBrady Skjei · Interferencedrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 15:24CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Holdingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalBOS goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Paul Stastny, 2nd 12:05 — CAR 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.92C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.24S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.21S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.16S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.16T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.14P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.13J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.11S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.09D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.05C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.05J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.05M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.03C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.02D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 4.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsCAR
1.51 G
All situations
3 G4.2
0.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS21%79%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsCAR
25
Shots on goal
36
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/6
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
14
16
Hits
15
8
Blocked shots
7
5
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD011000.00000—24:43
27H. LindholmD000-150.14120—23:42
88D. PastrnakR000-240.19402—21:44
63B. MarchandL000-120.13002—19:35
46D. KrejciC000-110.131005018:33
37P. BergeronC000-110.170005018:22
13C. CoyleC000010.011106916:58
48M. GrzelcykD000000.05010—16:14
71T. HallL101-130.23100—16:11
17N. FolignoL000030.30102—15:11
75C. CliftonD000000.00110—14:45
25B. CarloD000-210.02000—14:38
18P. ZachaC011000.0020010014:37
28D. ForbortD000000.00032—14:25
11T. FredericC000010.03000014:08
12C. SmithC000010.04100010:07
26M. McLaughlinC000-110.021025709:54
10A. GreerL000-110.05200—09:15
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)35323.9143.30+0.3059:25

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).