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Utah Mammoth at Anaheim Ducks

Final/OTTV BSAZX, BSW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Utah Mammoth 2-1 in overtime, Trevor Zegras scoring at 3:34. The Coyotes scored first; the Ducks answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Zegras's goal at 3:34 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.1 to 3.5; shots on goal were ARI 34, ANA 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 43 of 45 (.956), 2.1 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Trevor Zegras (1 G), 2. John Gibson (33 saves, .971), 3. Max Jones (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    T. Zegras1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson33 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    M. Jones1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI1100601602134
ANAANA0161190614245

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:21

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    12:32

Overtime

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.26win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    3:34

Penalties

ARI 10 PIM·ANA 20 PIM

1st

  • 12:27ARINick Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 19:45ARIBarrett Hayton · Holdingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

2nd

  • 9:12ANASam Carrick · Cross checkingdrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min
  • 10:03ARIJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 13:28ARIConnor Ingram · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 13:37ANAAdam Henrique · High stickingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 13:37ANATrevor Zegras · Roughingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 13:37ANATrevor Zegras · Misconductdrawn by Barrett Hayton10 min
  • 13:37ARIBarrett Hayton · Roughingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

3rd

  • 1:38ANARyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 4:39ANAJohn Klingberg · Roughingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalARI goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Trevor Zegras, OT 3:34 — ANA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.26T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.26C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.24F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.24F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.15J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.14T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.14T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.14A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.13J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.12A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.11M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.11R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.11F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.11M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.11I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.09M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.08J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.08C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.08I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.07M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.07M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.07S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.07S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jones · Goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.05R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.00J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 4.1 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsANA
3.51 G
All situations
2 G4.1
3.11 G
Even strength
2 G3.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI40%60%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.38 – 4.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsANA
34
Shots on goal
45
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
20
11
Hits
8
19
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000040.39022—24:19
4J. VälimäkiD000-110.10110—22:27
8N. SchmaltzC000000.130105022:18
90J. MoserD000+130.25010—22:10
9C. KellerR000040.4600010021:53
29B. HaytonC000030.160147019:43
51T. StecherD000-110.08020—18:53
2P. NemethD000+100.00120—18:42
17N. BjugstadC000-130.143007116:05
3J. BrownD000-140.44120—16:03
36C. FischerR011+120.09010—15:54
67L. CrouseL000-100.000005015:20
63M. MaccelliL000-110.16100—14:31
72T. BoydC011000.001103114:14
12N. RitchieL101+130.56142—12:35
22J. McBainC000020.151104011:10
11D. GuentherR000-110.14100—09:54
44Z. KassianR000020.21000—06:31
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(O)45432.9564.13+2.1363:34

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).