Boston Bruins at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Islanders scored first; the Bruins answered. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derek Forbort's goal at 11:00 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were BOS 24, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Charlie McAvoy (1 G, 1 A), 2. Derek Forbort (1 G), 3. Brad Marchand (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. McAvoy1 G, 1 A

- ★★D. Forbort1 G

- ★★★B. Marchand1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-115:41
2nd period
1-17:48
2-111:00
3rd period
3-15:03
4-115:38
Penalties
1st
- 2:02
David Pastrnak · Cross checkingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
- 11:23
Hudson Fasching · Trippingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
- 18:16
Charlie McAvoy · High stickingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
2nd
- 15:49
David Pastrnak · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
- 16:15
Brock Nelson · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Carlo2 min
3rd
- 0:43
Patrice Bergeron · High stickingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
- 4:22
Sebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
- 5:36
Joona Koppanen · Trippingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
- 12:48
Noah Dobson · Cross checkingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
- 18:40
Hampus Lindholm · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 20:00
Pavel Zacha · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Derek Forbort, 2nd 11:00 — 47% → 67%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.14 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.9
- 1.63 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.9
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.0
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 2.84
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 63%
- Faceoffs
- 37%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/6
- 14
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 24
- Hits
- 21
- 25
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 10
- Giveaways
- 13
- 3
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
BOS leads 3-0
3@
4SOFinal
4@
1this game
2@
6Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
