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Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV ROOT-NW, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Seattle Kraken 5-2. The Kraken scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derek Ryan's goal at 3:15 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were SEA 31, EDM 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.0 goals below expected; Jack Campbell stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Zach Hyman (1 G, 2 A), 2. Dylan Holloway (2 A), 3. Warren Foegele (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    D. Holloway2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    W. Foegele1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA17014110231
EDMEDM11329211533

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    D. Sprong(15)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    3:11
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:08

2nd period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.41win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:15
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    12:30

3rd period

  1. SEA
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    0:22
  2. EDM
    Unassisted
    xG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    1:23
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.36win prob +4 pts
    2-5
    9:18

Penalties

SEA 6 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:35EDMCody Ceci · Trippingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 7:00EDMVincent Desharnais · Elbowingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 10:02SEAMorgan Geekie · Slashingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 17:58SEAVince Dunn · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 14:02EDMTyson Barrie · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:59SEAJared McCann · Hookingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 18:33EDMVincent Desharnais · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSEA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Derek Ryan, 2nd 3:15 — EDM 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.41R. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.36R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.32W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.17D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.17C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.14E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.13K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.12W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.11W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.10W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.09E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.08D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.07D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 4.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsEDM
1.92 G
All situations
5 G4.0
1.41 G
Even strength
5 G3.3
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA19%81%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 3.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsEDM
31
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
43
Hits
36
13
Blocked shots
14
12
Giveaways
11
15
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD101-130.28022—27:26
6A. LarssonD000-100.00720—25:54
24J. OleksiakD000-100.02530—18:58
21A. WennbergC011+110.132105418:48
7J. EberleR000-240.29000—18:25
37Y. GourdeC000-120.111006417:25
10M. BeniersC000-210.032003317:18
20E. TolvanenR000-130.19110—16:56
19J. McCannL000+150.21202—16:45
95A. BurakovskyL011-120.10020—16:28
28C. SoucyD000-210.01410—15:44
22O. BjorkstrandR000-130.152003315:38
3W. BorgenD000-220.03600—15:09
13B. TanevL000000.00500—13:22
4J. SchultzD011-110.01100—10:12
91D. SprongR101-210.17100—10:02
67M. GeekieC000-210.153025709:56
9R. DonatoC000-210.03110009:34
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Jones(L)33295.8794.02-0.9860:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).