Skip to content
Wild at Capitals
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Washington Capitals
2
FinalTV NBCSWA, BSWIX·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Washington Capitals 4-2. The Capitals scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared Spurgeon's goal at 18:15 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were MIN 22, WSH 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jared Spurgeon (2 G), 2. Filip Gustavsson (34 saves, .944), 3. Martin Fehérváry (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson34 saves, .944
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    M. Fehérváry1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0331415422
WSHWSH11319014236

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    M. Fehérváry(4)
    A. Ovechkin (21), T. van Riemsdyk (7)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:57

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(6)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    0:50
  2. WSH
    D. Strome(9)
    M. Fehérváry (5), A. Ovechkin (22)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:05
  3. MIN
    J. Brodin(1)
    C. Dewar (7), M. Dumba (8)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:12
  4. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(7)
    C. Dewar (8), R. Reaves (6)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +23 pts
    3-2
    18:15

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(15)EN
    F. Gaudreau (10)
    backhandxG 0.92win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:06

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:02MINserved by M. Zuccarello · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 9:02WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Hookingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 16:57WSHNicolas Aube-Kubel · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 16:57MINBrandon Duhaime · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min

2nd

  • 14:43WSHLars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

3rd

  • 0:51MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Slashingdrawn by Erik Gustafsson2 min
  • 5:27MINJordan Greenway · High stickingdrawn by Matt Irwin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalMIN goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Jared Spurgeon, 2nd 18:15 — MIN 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.18T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.15M. Fehérváry · Goal · xG 0.15M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.14C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.14D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.13L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.13D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.13D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.13T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.11L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.10T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.09L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.08C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.08T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.08T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.06N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.06L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 3.4 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWSH
1.83 G
All situations
2 G3.4
0.83 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN11%89%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.90 – 3.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWSH
22
Shots on goal
36
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
33
Hits
31
15
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. SpurgeonD202+250.14120—24:26
5J. MiddletonD000+100.02340—22:44
25J. BrodinD101+110.03420—21:28
24M. DumbaD011000.00120—20:22
36M. ZuccarelloR000-140.15010—19:34
13S. SteelC000-120.161002718:52
97K. KaprizovL000000.03100—18:21
14J. Eriksson EkC101+220.933025217:45
17M. FolignoL000+200.0641010016:41
18J. GreenwayL000+110.05322—15:01
2C. AddisonD000010.01000—14:04
4J. MerrillD000010.08000—13:56
89F. GaudreauC011010.060006913:38
12M. BoldyL000-110.00110—12:48
26C. DewarC022+200.002004312:28
38R. HartmanR000-130.11100—11:10
21B. DuhaimeL000+200.00502—10:19
75R. ReavesR011+200.00300—08:36
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)36342.9443.41+1.4159:47

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).