Washington Capitals at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 4-3 in overtime, Dmitry Orlov scoring at 4:27. The Capitals came back from three goals down. The Islanders led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dmitry Orlov's goal at 4:27 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were WSH 35, NYI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Ilya Sorokin stopped 31 of 35 (.886). Three stars: 1. Dmitry Orlov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tom Wilson (1 G), 3. Matt Martin (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-14:24
0-213:19
2nd period
0-33:51
1-310:01
2-313:08
3rd period
3-35:54
Overtime
4-34:27
Penalties
1st
- 14:53
T.J. Oshie · Interferencedrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
2nd
- 4:34
Alexander Romanov · Slashingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
- 12:55
T.J. Oshie · Roughingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min
- 12:55
Alexander Romanov · Roughingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dmitry Orlov, OT 4:27 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.84 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.8
- 3.54 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.5
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.66 – 2.75
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 37
- Hits
- 38
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 19
- Giveaways
- 12
- 3
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
WSH leads 3-1
4@
3OTthis game
5@
1Final
2@
1SOFinal
2@
5Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
