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Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Vegas Golden Knights
3
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Klim Kostin's goal at 13:57 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were EDM 37, VGK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.0 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G), 2. William Karlsson (1 G), 3. Paul Cotter (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    P. Cotter1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM216211010437
VGKVGK1921209330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    M. Janmark(4)
    T. Barrie (27), B. Kulak (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:45
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(25)
    C. McDavid (46), Z. Hyman (26)
    batxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    1:42
  3. VGK
    K. Kolesar(5)
    W. Carrier (5), B. McNabb (13)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    18:46

2nd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(26)
    Z. Hyman (27)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    7:22
  2. VGK
    P. Cotter(6)
    B. Froese (1), P. Kessel (11)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    13:39
  3. EDM
    K. Kostin(9)
    M. Janmark (9)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    13:57
  4. VGK
    W. Karlsson(9)
    J. Marchessault (14), A. Martinez (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    19:18

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:08EDMVincent Desharnais · Roughingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min
  • 9:09VGKWilliam Carrier · Trippingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min

2nd

  • 14:56EDMTyson Barrie · Hookingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Klim Kostin, 2nd 13:57 — EDM 68% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.21W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.16B. Froese · Missed · xG 0.14P. Cotter · Goal · xG 0.13W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.12W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08B. Froese · Missed · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06B. Froese · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.04N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kolesar · Goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 2.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
3.54 G
All situations
3 G2.0
2.64 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM69%31%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.01 – 1.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
37
Shots on goal
30
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
30
Hits
36
13
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
5
11
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+120.02530—24:29
97C. McDavidC011+180.961007522:44
18Z. HymanL022040.41200—21:24
29L. DraisaitlC202040.776004520:06
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000+220.093004620:00
27B. KulakD011-100.00220—19:59
5C. CeciD000+210.01230—19:07
26M. JanmarkC112+230.3800010018:58
21K. KostinC101+210.12210017:36
22T. BarrieD011020.01202—15:50
71R. McLeodC000-200.130004214:28
2E. BouchardD000-120.11110—13:32
37W. FoegeleL000-110.15110—13:12
86P. BrobergD000010.02110—12:50
73V. DesharnaisD000+120.04112—12:45
10D. RyanC000020.0400010010:18
55D. HollowayL000010.18100—09:24
13J. PuljujarviR000-110.08000—09:18
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(W)30273.9001.96-1.0460:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).